2018 Florida gubernatorial election
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Turnout | 62.6%12.1[1][2] | |||||||||||||||||||
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DeSantis: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Gillum: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Florida |
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Government |
The 2018 Florida gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Florida, alongside an election to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Incumbent two-term Republican governor Rick Scott was term-limited and could not run for a third term, and he successfully ran for Florida's Class I Senate seat.
Republican U.S. representative Ron DeSantis narrowly defeated Democratic mayor of Tallahassee Andrew Gillum for the governorship, in what some considered an upset. The candidate filing deadline was June 22, 2018, and primary elections were held on August 28. Florida uses a closed primary process, in which the selection of each party's candidates for a general election is limited to registered members of that party;[3] Gillum won the Democratic primary and DeSantis the Republican primary.[4]
The close margin mandated a machine recount, which had a deadline of November 15, 2018. After the recount was complete, DeSantis was certified as the winner. Gillum conceded on November 17. DeSantis's victory marked the sixth straight election in which Florida elected a Republican to the governorship, and the third in a row that neither candidate received over 50% of the vote. With a margin of 0.4%, this election was the closest race of the 2018 gubernatorial election cycle. Gillum became the first Democrat to win Duval County since 1986 and Seminole County since 1990, while DeSantis became the first Republican gubernatorial candidate to win Jefferson County since 1884.
Republican primary[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Ron DeSantis, U.S. representative from the 6th district
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Don Baldauf, contractor[5][6]
- Timothy Devine, candidate for governor of Florida in 2014[7]
- Bob Langford, attorney[8][9]
- John Joseph Mercadante, Republican National Committee official[10][11]
- Bruce Nathan, physical therapist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[12]
- Adam Putnam, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture and former U.S. representative[13]
- Bob White, chairman of the Republican Liberty Caucus of Florida[14]
Withdrawn[edit]
- Issak Almaleh, notary[15][16]
- Frederick Buntin, incarcerated felon[17][18]
- Usha Jain, medical director[19]
- Jack Latvala, former Florida state senator[20][21]
- Armando Adames Rivas, banker[22][23]
- Angel Rivera, businessman, political strategist[24][25]
- Nathan Dale Wilson[26]
Declined[edit]
- Jeff Atwater, former chief financial officer of Florida[27][28]
- Pam Bondi, Florida Attorney General[27][29] (endorsed Adam Putnam)
- Richard Corcoran, Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives[30] (endorsed Adam Putnam)
- John Delaney, former mayor of Jacksonville[31]
- Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas and candidate for president in 2008 and in 2016[32][33]
- Francis Rooney, U.S. representative[34][35]
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida and candidate for president in 2016[36][37]
- Will Weatherford, former speaker of the Florida House of Representatives[27][38]
Endorsements[edit]
- U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States[39]
- U.S. representatives
- Lincoln Díaz-Balart, former U.S. representative (FL-21)[40]
- Steve Southerland, former U.S. representative (FL-2)[41]
- Statewide officials
- Pam Bondi, Attorney General of Florida[29]
- Richard Corcoran, state representative (District 37); speaker of the Florida House[30]
- State senator
- State representatives
- Allan Bense (former House Speaker)[41]
- Jay Trumbull[41]
- Sheriffs
- Paul Blackman, Highlands County[42]
- Chad Chronister, Hillsborough County[42]
- Bob Gualtieri, Pinellas County[42]
- Grady Judd, Polk County[42]
- Tom Knight, Sarasota County[42]
- Arnold Lanier, Hardee County[42]
- Al Nienhuis, Hernando County[42]
- Chris Nocco, Pasco County[42]
- Rick Wells, Manatee County[42]
- Organizations
- Associated Builders and Contractors[43]
- Florida Chamber of Commerce[44]
- Florida Family Action[45]
- Florida Fraternal Order of Police[46]
- Florida Police Benevolent Association[47]
- Florida Professional Firefighters[48]
- Associated Industries of Florida[49]
- Newspapers
- U.S. representative
- David Jolly, former U.S. representative (FL-13) and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[52]
Polling[edit]
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Richard Corcoran | Ron DeSantis | Jack Latvala | Adam Putnam | Bob White | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | August 21–25, 2018 | 579 | ± 4.1% | – | 39% | – | 27% | 6% | 4%[a] | 23% |
St. Pete Polls | August 22–23, 2018 | 2,141 | ± 2.1% | – | 56% | – | 33% | 3% | – | 8% |
Gravis Marketing | August 21–22, 2018 | 321 | ± 5.5% | – | 39% | – | 24% | 6% | 4%[a] | 26% |
Florida Atlantic University | August 16–20, 2018 | 222 | ± 6.5% | – | 32% | – | 31% | 2% | 13%[b] | 22% |
Saint Leo University | August 10–16, 2018 | 172 | – | – | 41% | – | 52% | – | 5% | – |
SurveyUSA | August 10–13, 2018 | 558 | ± 5.2% | – | 40% | – | 38% | 2% | 5%[c] | 16% |
North Star Opinion Research (R-DeSantis) | August 5–7, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | – | 50% | – | 30% | – | – | – |
Mason-Dixon | July 23–25, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | – | 41% | – | 29% | 0% | 2%[d] | 28% |
Florida Atlantic University | July 20–21, 2018 | 262 | ± 6.0% | – | 36% | – | 27% | 3% | 12%[e] | 23% |
Clearview Research | July 14–19, 2018 | 700 | ± 4.0% | – | 38% | – | 39% | – | – | 23% |
St. Pete Polls | July 16–17, 2018 | 1,709 | ± 2.4% | – | 50% | – | 30% | 4% | – | 17% |
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 905 | ± 3.3% | – | 35% | – | 29% | 4%[f] | 25% | |
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R) | July 8–12, 2018 | 349 | ± 5.2% | – | 42% | – | 30% | – | – | 27% |
Remington (R-Tenth Amendment Project) | July 2–5, 2018 | 2,826 | ± 1.8% | – | 43% | – | 26% | – | – | 25% |
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis) | July 2, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.4% | – | 47% | – | 28% | – | – | |
Marist College | June 17–21, 2018 | 326 | ± 6.7% | – | 21% | – | 38% | – | 3% | 39% |
Fox News | June 15–19, 2018 | 901 | ± 3.0% | – | 17% | – | 32% | 3% | 5%[g] | |
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 543 | ± 4.2% | 4% | 19% | – | 29% | 5% | – | 43% |
Cherry Communications | June 7–9, 2018 | 501 | ± 5.3% | – | 15% | – | 32% | – | 5% | 48% |
Saint Leo University | May 25–31, 2018 | 175 | – | – | 13% | – | 35% | – | 9% | 44% |
Florida Atlantic University | May 4–7, 2018 | 371 | ± 5.0% | – | 16% | – | 15% | 3% | 24%[h] | 43% |
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis) | April 19–23, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 7% | 30% | – | 23% | – | – | 40% |
– | 30% | – | 26% | – | – | 44% | ||||
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | – | – | 3% | 19% | 0% | 17% | 0% | – | 60% |
North Star Opinion Research (R-DeSantis) | March 12–15, 2018 | 600 | – | <6% | 21% | – | 19% | – | – | – |
– | 28% | – | 23% | – | – | – | ||||
Saint Leo University | February 18–24, 2018 | 175 | – | 7% | 14% | 3% | 15% | 5% | 9%[i] | 46% |
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | February 1–18, 2018 | – | – | 3% | 16% | 0% | 18% | 2% | – | 61% |
Mason-Dixon | January 29 – February 1, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 7% | 23% | – | 27% | – | – | 43% |
Remington | December 30–31, 2017 | 1,423 | ± 2.6% | 3% | 28% | – | 25% | – | – | 44% |
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | December 19–24, 2017 | – | – | 2% | 12% | 2% | 23% | 1% | – | 60% |
Saint Leo University | November 19–24, 2017 | 166 | – | 5% | 15% | 4% | 10%[j] | 63% | ||
Cherry Communications | September 17–24, 2017 | 256 | – | 1% | 9% | 26% | – | 3% | 59% | |
Saint Leo University | September 10–16, 2017 | 173 | – | 4% | 7% | 20% | 2% | 11%[k] | 44% | |
Florida Atlantic University | August 24–26, 2017 | 304 | ± 6.5% | 10% | 9% | 27% | – | – | 53% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jeff Atwater | Rick Baker | Pam Bondi | Richard Corcoran | Mike Huckabee | Usha Jain | David Jolly | Jack Latvala | Adam Putnam | Will Weatherford | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | March 28–29, 2017 | – | – | – | 2% | – | 5% | – | – | 5% | 4% | 21% | – | – | 63% |
Saint Leo University | March 3–11, 2017 | 175 | – | – | 6% | – | 5% | 30% | 2% | – | 3% | 13% | – | 8% | 34% |
Associated Industries of Florida | February 14–17, 2017 | 800 | ± 3.5% | – | – | – | 4% | – | – | – | – | 22% | – | – | 71% |
Cherry Communications | December 3–8, 2016 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22% | – | – | 64% |
Saint Leo University | November 27–30, 2016 | – | – | 5% | 1% | – | 2% | 32% | – | – | – | 6% | 1% | 7% | 47% |
StPetePolls.org | August 2, 2016 | 1,835 | ± 2.3% | 7% | 3% | 26% | 1% | 37% | – | – | – | 8% | 1% | 7% | 12% |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ron DeSantis | 916,298 | 56.5% | |
Republican | Adam Putnam | 592,518 | 36.5% | |
Republican | Bob White | 32,710 | 2.0% | |
Republican | Timothy M. Devine | 21,380 | 1.3% | |
Republican | Bob Langford | 19,842 | 1.2% | |
Republican | Bruce Nathan | 14,556 | 0.9% | |
Republican | Don Baldauf | 13,173 | 0.8% | |
Republican | John Joseph Mercadante | 11,647 | 0.7% | |
Total votes | 1,622,124 | 100.0% |
Democratic primary[edit]
Nominee[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Gwen Graham, former U.S. representative and daughter of former U.S. senator and former governor Bob Graham[57]
- Jeff Greene, real estate billionaire and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[58]
- Chris King, entrepreneur and founder of Elevation Financial Group[59]
- Philip Levine, former mayor of Miami Beach[60]
- Alex Lundmark, real estate agent[61][62]
- John Wetherbee, entrepreneur[63][64]
Withdrew[edit]
- Henry E. Davis, judge[65][66]
- Richard Paul Dembinsky, candidate for U.S. representative in 2016 and candidate for governor in 2006[67]
- Lucretia Fordyce, activist[68]
- Josue Larose, perennial candidate[69]
- Brooke Russell Locke Marx, notary[70]
- Louis McClanahan, plant operator[69]
Declined[edit]
- Bob Buckhorn, mayor of Tampa[71]
- Kathy Castor, U.S. representative (running for reelection)[72][73]
- Charlie Crist, U.S. representative, former governor of Florida, and nominee for governor in 2014 (running for reelection)[74][75]
- Buddy Dyer, mayor of Orlando[76][77]
- Rick Kriseman, mayor of St. Petersburg[78]
- John Morgan, lawyer and medical marijuana advocate[79][80][81][82]
- Patrick Murphy, former U.S. representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2016[83]
- Bill Nelson, U.S. senator (running for reelection)[84]
- Jeremy Ring, former Florida state senator (running for CFO)[85][86]
- Jack Seiler, mayor of Fort Lauderdale[76][87]
Endorsements[edit]
- U.S. senators
- Tammy Duckworth, U.S. senator from Illinois[88]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. senator from New York[89]
- Bob Graham, former Governor of Florida and former U.S. senator from Florida, father of Gwen Graham[90]
- U.S. representatives
- Kathy Castor, U.S. representative (FL-14)[91]
- Jim Davis, former U.S. representative (FL-11), Democratic nominee for governor in 2006[92]
- Steny Hoyer, U.S. representative (MD-05), House Minority Whip[93]
- David Jolly, former U.S. representative (Republican) (FL-13)[94]
- John Lewis, U.S. representative (GA-05)[95]
- Ted Lieu, U.S. representative (CA-35)[96]
- Patrick Murphy, former U.S. representative (FL-18), Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016[97]
- Statewide officials
- Betty Castor, former Florida Commissioner of Education, former President of the University of South Florida, Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2004[98]
- Howard Dean, 79th governor of Vermont, Democratic candidate for President in 2004[99]
- Alex Sink, former Florida Chief Financial Officer, Democratic nominee for governor in 2010[100]
- State legislators
- Lori Berman, state senator (D-Lantana)[101]
- Karen Castor Dentel, former state representative (D-Maitland)[102]
- John Cortes, state representative (D-Kissimmee)[103]
- Tracie Davis, state representative (D-Jacksonville)[104]
- Ben Diamond, state representative (D-St. Petersburg)[105]
- Dwight Dudley, former state representative (D-St. Petersburg)[92]
- Katie Edwards, state representative (D-Plantation)[103]
- Kristin Jacobs, state representative (D-Coconut Creek)[106]
- Evan Jenne, state representative (D-Hollywood)[106]
- Arthenia Joyner, former state senator (D-Tampa)[107]
- Amy Mercado, state representative (D-Orlando)[101]
- Jon L. Mills, former state representative (D-Gainesville), former State House Speaker[108]
- Jared Moskowitz, state representative (D-Coral Springs)[109]
- Mark S. Pafford, former state representative (D-West Palm Beach), former State House Minority Leader[103]
- Darryl Rouson, state senator (D-St. Petersburg)[110]
- David Silvers, state representative (D-West Palm Beach)[111]
- Kelly Skidmore, former state representative (D-Boca Raton)[102]
- Emily Slosberg, state representative (D-Boca Raton)[111]
- Richard Stark, state representative (D-Weston)[106]
- Victor M. Torres Jr., state senator (D-Orlando)[112]
- Barbara Watson, state representative (D-Miami Gardens)[101]
- Clovis Watson Jr., state representative (D-Gainesville)[113]
- Matt Willhite, state representative (D-Wellington)[114]
- Mayors and other municipal leaders
- Shannon Blankenship, Duval County Soil and Water Conservation District Chair[103]
- Skip Campbell, Mayor of Coral Springs[115]
- John Dailey, Leon County Commissioner[116]
- Garrett Dennis, Jacksonville City Councilman[117]
- Kristin Dozier, Leon County Commissioner[116]
- Pat Collier Frank, Hillsborough County Clerk of Courts[118]
- Tabitha Frazier, Leon County Soil and Water Conservation District Supervisor[116]
- Shirley Freeman, former Mayor of Monroe County[119]
- Jake Godbold, former Mayor of Jacksonville[117]
- Pegeen Hanrahan, former Mayor of Gainesville[102]
- Tommy Hazouri, Jacksonville City Councilman, former Mayor of Jacksonville[103]
- Warren Jones, Duval County School Board member[104]
- Cindy Lerner, former Mayor of Pinecrest[119]
- Shanon Matiero, West Palm Beach Former City Commissioner[114]
- Melissa McKinlay, Mayor of Palm Beach County[120]
- Barry Moss, Pompano Beach City Commissioner[114]
- Jeri Muoio, Mayor of West Palm Beach[115]
- Karl Nurse, former St. Petersburg City Councilman[92]
- Frank Ortis, Mayor of Pembroke Pines[115]
- Darden Rice, St. Petersburg City Council Chair[110]
- Nan Rich, Broward County Commissioner, Democratic candidate for Governor in 2014[121]
- Katy Sorenson, former Miami-Dade County Commissioner[114]
- Mike Suarez, Tampa City Councilman[110]
- Matt Surrency, Mayor of Hawthorne[119]
- Dean Trantalis, Mayor of Fort Lauderdale[122]
- Gil Ziffer, Tallahassee City Commissioner[123]
- Other individuals
- Jimmy Buffett, musician[124]
- Alan Clendenin, DNC member, former Florida Democratic Party Vice-Chair[125]
- Wendy Davis, former Texas state senator, Democratic nominee for Governor of Texas in 2014[126]
- Manley Fuller, President of the Florida Wildlife Federation[108]
- Alma Gonzalez, DNC member, former Florida Democratic Party Treasurer[102]
- Organizations
- EMILY's List[127]
- Florida Education Association[128]
- Florida Police Benevolent Association[129]
- International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers[130]
- Ruth's List[131]
- United Steelworkers[103]
- The Everglades Trust[132]
- Newspaper editorial boards
- Newspapers
- State legislators
- Mayors and other municipal officials
- Linda Chapin, former Mayor of Orange County[137]
- Eddie Cole, mayor of Eatonville[138]
- Organizations
- Statewide officials
- State legislators
- Keith Fitzgerald, former state representative (D-Sarasota), Democratic nominee for U.S. House in 2012[141]
- Mayors and other municipal officials
- John Elizabeth Alemán, Miami Beach City Commissioner[142]
- Andy Amoroso, Vice-Mayor of Lake Worth[143]
- Ricky Arriola, Miami Beach City Commissioner[143]
- Carmen Yulín Cruz, mayor of San Juan, Puerto Rico[144]
- Oliver Gilbert, mayor of Miami Gardens[145]
- Justin Katz, Boynton Beach City Commissioner[143]
- Ken Keechl, former Broward County Commissioner[143]
- Alex Penelas, former mayor of Miami-Dade County[145]
- Robert Shelley, Aventura City Commissioner
- Glenn Singer, mayor of Golden Beach
- Micky Steinberg, Miami Beach City Commissioner[143]
- Enid Weisman, mayor of Aventura[143]
- Other individuals
- Newspaper editorial boards
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Andrew Gillum | Gwen Graham | Jeff Greene | Chris King | Philip Levine | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | August 25–26, 2018 | 2,342 | ± 2.0% | 25% | 32% | 11% | 2% | 22% | 4% | 5% |
Gravis Marketing | August 21–25, 2018 | 531 | ± 4.3% | 16% | 26% | 19% | 5% | 18% | – | 17% |
Gravis Marketing | August 21–22, 2018 | 308 | ± 5.6% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 5% | 18% | – | 17% |
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) | August 19–21, 2018 | 669 | ± 3.8% | 18% | 25% | 13% | 2% | 26% | – | 15% |
Florida Atlantic University | August 16–20, 2018 | 280 | ± 6.3% | 11% | 29% | 11% | 10% | 17% | 3% | 19% |
Change Research (D-Gillum) | August 18–19, 2018 | 1,178 | – | 33% | 22% | 10% | – | 22% | – | – |
St. Pete Polls | August 18–19, 2018 | 2,202 | ± 2.1% | 21% | 27% | 15% | 3% | 25% | 4% | 6% |
Saint Leo University | August 10–16, 2018 | 188 | – | 15% | 31% | 17% | 5% | 22% | 4% | – |
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) | August 11–14, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 15% | 24% | 13% | 3% | 27% | – | 18% |
SurveyUSA | August 10–13, 2018 | 631 | ± 5.2% | 11% | 22% | 16% | 3% | 22% | 2%[l] | 24% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Levine) | August 5–6, 2018 | 572 | – | 13% | 26% | 16% | 4% | 22% | – | 19% |
ALG Research (D-Graham) | July 29 – August 2, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 10% | 33% | 13% | 3% | 17% | – | 23% |
St. Pete Polls | July 30–31, 2018 | 1,652 | ± 2.4% | 12% | 29% | 23% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 9% |
Mason-Dixon | July 23–25, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 10% | 27% | 12% | 7% | 18% | 1%[m] | 25% |
Florida Atlantic University | July 20–21, 2018 | 271 | ± 5.9% | 7% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 16% | 3% | 31% |
Associated Industries of Florida | July 16–18, 2018 | 800 | – | 12% | 24% | 13% | 4% | 16% | – | – |
Frederick Polls | July 2018 | 506 | – | 15% | 28% | 23% | 7% | 27% | – | – |
St. Pete Polls | July 14–15, 2018 | 1,314 | ± 2.7% | 10% | 22% | 22% | 3% | 19% | 1%[n] | 25% |
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,540 | ± 2.5% | 10% | 27% | 18% | – | 17% | – | 27% |
Marist College | June 17–21, 2018 | 344 | ± 6.5% | 8% | 17% | 4% | 3% | 19% | 1% | 47% |
RABA Research | June 15–16, 2018 | 660 | ± 3.8% | 8% | 26% | 3% | 15% | 27% | – | 21% |
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 29% | 24% | – | 3% | 17% | – | 27% |
Let's Preserve the American Dream | June 6–9, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.1% | 11% | 21% | 3% | 4% | 24% | – | 37% |
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) | June 3–5, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 11% | 16% | 4% | 6% | 32% | – | 31% |
Saint Leo University | May 25–31, 2018 | 195 | – | 10% | 14% | – | 6% | 14% | 9% | 47% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Levine) | May 21–22, 2018 | 583 | – | 12% | 20% | – | 6% | 30% | – | 33% |
Change Research (D-Gillum) | May 8–11, 2018 | 1,107 | ± 3.0% | 13% | 13% | – | 3% | 20% | – | 52% |
Florida Atlantic University | May 4–7, 2018 | 372 | ± 3.0% | 6% | 15% | – | 10% | 16% | 11%[o] | 42% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | April 10–11, 2018 | 491 | – | 8% | 23% | – | 4% | 29% | – | 36% |
Public Policy Polling | March 23–25, 2018 | 613 | – | 8% | 19% | – | 5% | 22% | – | 46% |
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | – | – | 11% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 13% | – | 64% |
Saint Leo University | February 18–24, 2018 | 190 | – | 10% | 17% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 50% |
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | February 1–18, 2018 | – | – | 9% | 12% | 1% | 2% | 12% | – | 63% |
Mason-Dixon | January 29 – February 1, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 10% | 20% | – | 4% | 17% | – | 49% |
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | December 19–24, 2017 | – | – | 12% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 6% | – | 60% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob Buckhorn | Kathy Castor | Buddy Dyer | Andrew Gillum | Gwen Graham | Jeff Greene | Grant Hill | Chris King | Philip Levine | John Morgan | Patrick Murphy | Jeremy Ring | Katherine Fernandez Rundle | Jack Seiler | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Frederick Polls | April 23–28, 2018 | 750 | ± 3.6% | – | – | – | 6% | 14% | – | – | 2% | 20% | – | 14% | – | – | – | – | 44% |
Saint Leo University | November 19–24, 2017 | 181 | – | – | 2% | – | 6% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 13% | – | – | 5% | – | 2% | 53% |
Cherry Communications[permanent dead link] | September 17–24, 2017 | 263 | – | – | – | – | 6% | 16% | – | – | 2% | 4% | 23% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 44% |
Saint Leo University | September 10–16, 2017 | 190 | – | – | 3% | – | 5% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 12% | 13% | – | 5% | – | 3% | 44% |
Florida Atlantic University | August 24–26, 2017 | 297 | ± 6.5% | – | – | – | 9% | 14% | – | – | 4% | 8% | 19% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% |
Gravis Marketing Archived April 14, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | April 4–10, 2017 | – | – | – | – | – | 13% | 11% | 1% | – | – | 3% | – | 14% | – | – | – | 3% | 55% |
Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | March 28–29, 2017 | – | – | – | – | – | 23% | 8% | 0% | – | – | 1% | 9% | 24% | – | – | – | – | 36% |
Saint Leo University | March 3–11, 2017 | 203 | – | 3% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 20% | 2% | – | 2% | 4% | 40% |
Cherry Communications | December 3–8, 2016 | – | – | 5% | – | – | 8% | 16% | – | – | – | 5% | 15% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 45% |
Saint Leo University | November 27–30, 2016 | – | – | 5% | 4% | 5% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 3% | 20% | – | 1% | – | 1% | 7% | 49% |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andrew Gillum | 517,417 | 34.3% | |
Democratic | Gwen Graham | 472,735 | 31.3% | |
Democratic | Philip Levine | 306,450 | 20.3% | |
Democratic | Jeff Greene | 151,935 | 10.1% | |
Democratic | Chris King | 37,464 | 2.5% | |
Democratic | John Wetherbee | 14,355 | 1.0% | |
Democratic | Alex "Lundy" Lundmark | 8,628 | 0.6% | |
Total votes | 1,508,984 | 100.0% |
Independent and third party candidates[edit]
Reform Party[edit]
Declared[edit]
Libertarian Party[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]
- Riquet Caballero, banker and Afro-Cuban activist (running for state representative)[150]
- Randy Wiseman, former chair of the Lake County School Board, candidate for state representative in 2004, and candidate for mayor of Mount Dora in 2013[151]
Constitution party[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]
Independents[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Ryan Christopher Foley, former emergency medical technician[154]
- Kyle "KC" Gibson, pastor[154]
- Bruce Stanley, environmental activist[154]
Declined[edit]
- Grant Hill, former professional basketball player[155]
- John Morgan, lawyer and medical marijuana advocate[156]
- Ellen Marie Wilds, JPO supervisor (became Kyle "KC" Gibson's running mate)[157][158]
Endorsements[edit]
- Nancy Argenziano, former Florida state senator and public service commissioner[159]
- Randy Wiseman, former Republican Chair of the Lake County School Board[160]
- Snoop Dogg, rapper and actor[161]
- Roger Stone, political activist and consultant[161]
General election[edit]
Debates[edit]
Dates | Location | DeSantis | Gillum | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
October 21, 2018 | Tampa, Florida | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
October 24, 2018 | Weston, Florida | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
First debate[edit]
The first debate moderated by CNN's Jake Tapper was hosted on October 21, 2018, at WEDU, Tampa, Florida.[162] It was an hour long debate featuring topics like climate change,[163][164] minimum wage,[165][166] health care,[167] gun control,[168] the NRA,[169] DeSantis's "monkey up" comment[170] and President Donald Trump being a role model for children.[171][172]
This debate was held a day before early voting started in Florida on October 22, 2018.[173]
Second debate[edit]
The second debate occurred on October 24, 2018, and was hosted at Weston, Florida. It was moderated by Leadership Florida and the Florida Press Association.[174]
Endorsements[edit]
- Former U.S. executive branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th President of United States[175]
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States[176]
- Julian Castro, 16th United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development[177]
- Eric Holder, 82nd United States Attorney General[178]
- Valerie Jarrett, former director of the Office of Public Engagement and Intergovernmental Affairs[179]
- U.S. senators
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator (I-VT)[180]
- Bill Nelson, U.S. senator (D-FL)[181]
- Cory Booker, U.S. senator (D-NJ)[182]
- Jeff Merkley, U.S. senator (D-OR)[183]
- Chris Murphy, U.S. senator (D-CT)[184]
- Kamala Harris, U.S. senator (D-CA)[185]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator (D-MA)[186]
- Bob Graham, former U.S. senator (D-FL) and former governor of Florida[187]
- U.S. representatives
- Charlie Crist, U.S. representative (FL-13) and former Republican governor of Florida[188]
- David Jolly, former U.S. representative (Republican) (FL-13)[189]
- Luis Gutiérrez, U.S. representative (IL-04)[190]
- Alcee Hastings, U.S. representative (FL-20)[191]
- Ro Khanna, U.S. representative (CA-17)[192]
- Frederica Wilson, U.S. representative (FL-24)[193]
- Darren Soto, U.S. representative (FL-9)[194]
- Ted Deutch, U.S. representative (FL-22)[195]
- Al Lawson, U.S. representative (FL-5)[196]
- Stephanie Murphy, U.S. representative (FL-7)[197]
- Kathy Castor, U.S. representative (FL-14)[198]
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, U.S. representative (FL-23)[199]
- Patrick Murphy, former U.S. representative (FL-18)[200]
- Gwen Graham, former U.S. representative (FL-2) and former candidate[201]
- Nydia Velázquez, U.S. representative (NY-7)[202]
- Adam Schiff, U.S. representative (CA-28)[203]
- John Lewis, U.S. representative (GA-5)[204]
- State and territorial officials
- Ricardo Rosselló, Governor of Puerto Rico[205]
- Aramis Ayala, State Attorney for the Ninth Judicial Circuit Court of Florida[206]
- Phil Murphy, Governor of New Jersey[207]
- John Hickenlooper, Governor of Colorado[208]
- Jay Inslee, Governor of Washington[209]
- Ralph Northam, Governor of Virginia[210]
- Martin O'Malley, former governor of Maryland[211]
- Terry McAuliffe, former governor of Virginia[212]
- Justin Fairfax, Lieutenant Governor of Virginia[213]
- Dave Zuckerman, Lieutenant Governor of Vermont[214]
- State legislators
- Joseph Abruzzo, state representative (D-Boynton Beach)[215]
- Ramon Alexander, state representative (D-Tallahassee)[216]
- Loranne Ausley, state representative (D-Tallahassee)[217]
- Randolph Bracy, state senator (D-Orlando)[113]
- Kamia Brown, state representative (D-Orlando)[218]
- Dwight M. Bullard, former state senator (D-Miami)[219]
- Jeff Clemens, former state senator (D-Lake Worth)[215]
- Patrick Henry, state representative (D-Daytona Beach)[220]
- Tony Hill, former state senator (D-Jacksonville)[221]
- Al Jacquet, state representative (D-Lantana)[222]
- Mia L. Jones, former state representative (D-Jacksonville)[223]
- Shevrin D. Jones, state representative (D-West Park)[218]
- Bobby Powell, state senator (D-West Palm Beach)[215]
- Bakari Sellers, former state representative (D-Denmark, South Carolina)[224]
- Carlos Guillermo Smith, state representative (D-Orlando)[225]
- Margaret Good, state representative (D-Sarasota[226]
- Perry E. Thurston Jr., state senator (D-Fort Lauderdale)[227]
- Mayors and other municipal leaders
- Rick Kriseman, mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida[228]
- Buddy Dyer Mayor of Orlando, Florida[229]
- Bob Buckhorn, mayor of Tampa, Florida[229]
- Derrick Henry, mayor of Daytona Beach[230]
- Terrill Hill, mayor of Palatka[230]
- Joel Flores, mayor of Greenacres[231]
- Eugene Fultz, mayor of Lake Wales[232]
- Joe Kyles, mayor of South Bay[231]
- Wayne Messam, mayor of Miramar[233]
- Philip Levine, former mayor of Miami Beach and former candidate[234]
- Levar Stoney, mayor of Richmond, Virginia[235]
- Melvin Carter, mayor of St. Paul, Minnesota[236]
- Bill de Blasio, mayor of New York City[237]
- Svante Myrick, mayor of Ithaca, New York[238]
- Letitia James, Public Advocate of New York City[239]
- Lauren Poe, mayor of Gainesville[240]
- Tamara James, mayor of Dania Beach[241]
- Steve Wilson, mayor of Belle Glade[231]
- Harriet Pruette, former mayor of Neptune Beach[231]
- Hazelle P. Rogers, mayor of Lauderdale Lakes[232]
- Eric Jones, mayor of West Park[232]
- Keith W. Babb, Jr., Mayor of Pahokee[231]
- Joseph Kelley, Vice Mayor of Opa-locka[231]
- Erhabor Ighodaro, Vice-Mayor of Miami-Gardens[242]
- Brian C. Johnson, Vice-Mayor of West Park[232]
- Sharon Butler, Vice-Mayor of Florida City[242]
- RS Shiver, former Vice-Mayor of Florida City[231]
- Harvey Ward, Gainesville City Commissioner[232]
- David Williams, Jr., Miami Gardens Councilman[231]
- Dale Holness, Broward County Commissioner[243]
- Andreana Jackson, North Bay Village Commissioner[232]
- Viviana Janer, Osceola County Commissioner[244]
- Tonya Davis Johnson, Riviera Beach City Commissioner[232]
- Mack Bernard, Palm Beach County Commissioner[245]
- Phillippe Bien-Aime, North Miami City Councilman[231]
- Emily Bonilla, Orange County Commissioner[246]
- Lisa Wheeler Bowman, St. Petersburg City Council Vice-Chair[232]
- Kenneth Brown, Panama City Commissioner[232]
- David Arreola, Gainesville City Commissioner[191]
- Teresa Watkins Brown, Fort Myers City Councilwoman[232]
- Felicia Brunson, West Park City Commissioner[232]
- Johnny Burroughs, Jr., Belle Glade City Commissioner[231]
- Joyce Cusack, Volusia County Councilwoman[230]
- Sandra Davey, Lauderdale Lakes City Commissioner[241]
- Paula R. Reed, Daytona Beach City Commissioner[230]
- Evelyn D. Robinson, Orange City Councilwoman[230]
- Lisa C. Davis, Miami Gardens Councilwoman[231]
- Jessica Davis, Deland City Commissioner[230]
- Benny L. Everett III, Pahokee City Commissioner[231]
- Johnny G. Farias, South Bay Community Councilman[231]
- Betty T. Ferguson, former Miami-Dade County Commissioner[231]
- Steve Gallon, III, Miami-Dade County School Board Member[231]
- Anne M. Gannon, Palm Beach County Tax Collector[247]
- Barb Girtman, West Volusia Hospital Authority Commissioner[230]
- Bobbie Grace, Dania Beach City Commissioner[241]
- Omari Hardy, Lake Worth City Commissioner[248]
- Rosalind Osgood, Broward County School Board member[241]
- Adrian Hayes-Santos, Gainesville City Commissioner[240]
- Dannette Henry, Daytona Beach City Commissioner[230]
- Barbara Jordan, Miami-Dade County Commissioner[249]
- Marty Kiar, Broward County Property Appraiser[250]
- Gwendolyn M. Miller, former chairwoman of the Tampa, Florida City Council[251]
- Les Miller, Hillsborough County Commissioner[251]
- Clara Murvin, Pahokee City Commissioner[231]
- Other individuals
- Alec Baldwin, actor[252]
- Ady Barkan, Political Activist and Director of Fed Up [253]
- Adam Best, entrepreneur, film producer, writer and political activist.[254]
- Karamo Brown, television host, reality television personality, psychotherapist, and activist [255]
- John Morgan, attorney, Founder of the law firm, Morgan & Morgan.[256]
- Sean Combs, rapper, singer, songwriter, actor, record producer and entrepreneur [257]
- Billy Corben, documentary film director [258]
- Shaun King, writer and civil rights activist [259]
- Jane Fonda, actress[252]
- John Leguizamo, actor, stand-up comedian, film producer, playwright, and screenwriter.[260]
- John Iadarola, anchor on The Young Turks[261]
- Norman Lear, television writer and producer[262]
- Alyssa Milano, actress[263]
- Ana Navarro, Republican political strategist[264]
- Bob Poe, former chair of the Florida Democratic Party, Democratic candidate for U.S. House in 2016[265]
- Rick Ross, rapper, entrepreneur and record executive.[266]
- Gabrielle Union, actress, activist, and author [267]
- Charlamagne Tha God, nationally-syndicated radio host[219]
- George Soros, investor, business magnate, philanthropist, political activist and author.[268]
- Tom Steyer, hedge fund manager, philanthropist, environmentalist, Democratic fundraiser[269]
- Allison Tant, former chair of the Florida Democratic Party[270]
- Megan Boone, actress[271]
- Kendrick Sampson, actor[272]
- Tommy Vietor, political commentator[273]
- Lee Daniels, film producer and actor[274]
- Alex Hirsch, animator[275]
- Tara Strong, voice actress and activist[276]
- Amy Schumer, actress[277]
- Cecile Richards, activist[278]
- Kendrick Sampson, actor[279]
- Malynda Hale, singer[280]
- Mark Ruffalo, actor[281]
- Jussie Smollett, actor and singer[282]
- Norman Lear, television producer[283]
- Angela Rye, attorney and commentator[284]
- Fred Guttenberg, activist[285]
- Grant Hill, professional basketball player[286]
- Michael Eric Dyson, preacher and academic[287]
- Jeff Greene, real estate entrepreneur and former candidate[288]
- Eva Longoria, actress and activist[289]
- Gina Rodriguez, actress and activist[290]
- Zoe Saldana, actress[291]
- America Ferrera, actress[292]
- Rosario Dawson, actress and activist[293]
- Rihanna, singer, actress, and diplomat[294]
- DJ Khaled, disc jockey and record producer[295]
- John P. Kee, gospel singer[296]
- Don Cheadle, actor[297]
- Organizations
- Democratic Progressive Caucus of Florida[298]
- Indivisible movement[299]
- Democracy for America[300]
- Florida Conservation Voters[301]
- Florida Immigrant Coalition[302]
- Indivisible Action, Tampa Bay[303]
- National Nurses United[304]
- NextGen America[269]
- Our Revolution[305]
- People for the American Way[306]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[307]
- Sierra Club[308]
- Working Families Party[307]
- Newspapers
- Sheriffs
- Sadie Darnell, Alachua County Sheriff
- Walt McNeil, Leon County Sheriff
- Russell H. Gibson, Osceola County Sheriff
- Jerry Demings, Orange County Sheriff
- Morris Young, Gadsden County Sheriff
- U.S. executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, President of the United States[313]
- Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States[314]
- Sonny Perdue, United States Secretary of Agriculture[315]
- U.S. senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator (R-FL)[316]
- U.S. representatives
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative (FL-01)[317]
- Neal Dunn, U.S. representative (FL-02)[317]
- Brian Mast, U.S. representative (FL-18)[317]
- Jenniffer González, Resident Commissioner of Puerto Rico[318]
- State senators
- Rob Bradley[319]
- Aaron Bean[320]
- Anitere Flores[320]
- Bill Galvano[320]
- Debbie Mayfield[320]
- Dennis K. Baxley[320]
- Doug Broxson[320]
- George Gainer[320]
- Greg Steube[320]
- Kathleen Passidomo[320]
- Kelli Stargel[320]
- Lizbeth Benacquisto[320]
- Rob Bradley[320]
- Tom Lee[320]
- René García[320]
- State representatives
- Ben Albritton[321]
- Bill Hager[321]
- Bob Cortes[322]
- Bob Rommel[321]
- Bobby Olszewski[321]
- Bobby Payne[321]
- Brad Drake[321]
- Byron Donalds[321]
- Charlie Stone[321]
- Chris Sprowls[321]
- Clay Yarborough[321]
- Colleen Burton[321]
- Cord Byrd[321]
- Cyndi Stevenson[321]
- Dane Eagle[321]
- Danny Burgess[321]
- David Santiago[321]
- Elizabeth W. Porter[321]
- Erin Grall[321]
- Frank White[321]
- Gayle Harrell[321]
- Halsey Beshears[321]
- Holly Raschein[321]
- Jamie Grant[321]
- Jason Fischer[321]
- Jayer Williamson[321]
- Jim Boyd[321]
- Joe Gruters[321]
- Manny Díaz Jr.[321]
- MaryLynn Magar[321]
- Michael Bileca[321]
- Mike La Rosa[321]
- Paul Renner[321]
- Randy Fine[321]
- Ray Pilon[321]
- Rick Roth[321]
- Sam Killebrew[321]
- Shawn Harrison[321]
- Stan McClain[321]
- Travis Cummings[319]
- Mel Ponder[321]
- José R. Oliva[323]
- Tom Leek[321]
- Jake Raburn[321]
- Clay Ingram[321]
- Mayors and other municipal leaders
- Scotty Rhoden, Baker County Sheriff[324]
- Tommy Ford, Bay County Sheriff[324]
- Gordon Smith, Bradford County Sheriff[324]
- Mike Prendergast, Citrus County Sheriff[324]
- Bill Prummell, Charlotte County Sheriff[324]
- Darryl Daniels, Clay County Sheriff[324]
- Kevin Rambosk, Collier County Sheriff[324]
- Mark Hunter, Columbia County Sheriff[324]
- Mike Williams, Duval County Sheriff[324]
- David Morgan, Escambia County Sheriff[324]
- AJ Smith, Franklin County Sheriff[324]
- Bobby Schultz, Gilchrist County Sheriff[324]
- Arnold Lanier, Hardee County Sheriff[324]
- Steve Whidden, Hendry County Sheriff[324]
- Al Nienhuis, Hernando County Sheriff[324]
- Deryl Loar, Indian River County Sheriff[324]
- Lou Roberts, Jackson County Sheriff[324]
- Rick Wells, Manatee County Sheriff[324]
- Mac McNeillm, Jefferson County Sheriff[324]
- Peyton Grinnell, Lake County Sheriff[324]
- Bobby McCallum, Levy County Sheriff[324]
- Benjamine Stewart, Madison County Sheriff[324]
- Rick Wells, Manatee County Sheriff[324]
- William Snyder, Martin County Sheriff[324]
- Rick Ramsay, Monroe County Sheriff[324]
- Bill Leeper, Nassau County Sheriff[324]
- Larry Ashley, Okaloosa County Sheriff[324]
- Chris Nocco, Pasco County Sheriff[324]
- Bob Gualtieri, Pinellas County Sheriff[324]
- Grady Judd, Polk County Sheriff[324]
- Gator DeLoach, Putnam County Sheriff[324]
- David Shoar, St. Johns County Sheriff[324]
- Sam St. Johns, Suwannee County Sheriff[324]
- Bob Johnson, Santa Rosa County Sheriff[324]
- Bill Farmer, Sumter County Sheriff[324]
- Brad Whitehead, Union County Sheriff[324]
- Michael Chitwood, Volusia County Sheriff[324]
- Mike Adkinson, Walton County Sheriff[324]
- Lenny Curry, Mayor of Jacksonville[319]
- Carlos A. Giménez, Mayor of Miami-Dade County[325]
- Rudy Giuliani, former mayor of New York City[326]
- Carlos Hernández, Mayor of Hialeah[325]
- Wayne Ivey, Brevard County Sheriff[327]
- Dennis Lemma, Seminole County Sheriff[327]
- Rick Staly, Flagler County Sheriff[327]
- Mike Williams, Jacksonville Sheriff[319]
- Billy Woods, Marion County Sheriff[327]
- Ramón Luis Rivera Jr., Mayor of Bayamón[328]
- Angel Pérez Otero, mayor of Guaynabo[328]
- Carlos Molina, mayor of Arecibo[328]
- State and territorial officials
- Rick Scott, Governor of Florida
- Jeb Bush, former governor of Florida[329]
- Luis Rivera Marín, Secretary of State of Puerto Rico[330]
- Carlos Johnny Méndez, Speaker of the House of Representatives of Puerto Rico[328]
- José Aponte Hernández, representative[328]
- Maricarmen Mas Rodríguez, representative[328]
- José 'Quiquito' Melendéz Ortiz, representative[328]
- José 'Pichy' Torres Zamora, representative[328]
- María de Lourdes Ramos Rivera, representative[328]
- María Milagros Charbonier, representative[328]
- Néstor Alonso Vega, representative[328]
- Eddie Charbonier Chinea, representative[328]
- Juan Oscar Morales, representative[328]
- Víctor Parés, representative[328]
- Jorge Navarro Suárez, representative[328]
- Yashira Lebrón Rodríguez, representative[328]
- Nelson del Valle, representative[328]
- Pellé Santiago, representative[328]
- Tony Soto, representative[328]
- Guillermo Miranda Rivera, representative[328]
- Gabriel Rodríguez Aguiló, representative[328]
- José 'Memo' González Mercado, representative[328]
- Michael Abid Quiñones Irizarry, representative[328]
- June Rivera, representative[328]
- Joel Franqui Atiles, representative[328]
- Víctor M. Torres, representative[328]
- Urayoán Hernández, representative[328]
- Luis Pérez Ortiz, representative[328]
- Ángel Bulerín, representative[328]
- Félix Lasalle Toro, representative[328]
- Jackeline 'Jackie' Rodríguez Hernández, representative[328]
- José Banchs Alemán, representative[328]
- Reinaldo 'Rey' Vargas, representative[328]
- Wilson Roman, representative-elect[328]
- Individuals
- Sheldon Adelson, business magnate, investor, and philanthropist[331]
- Hushang Ansary, businessman, former diplomat, and philanthropist[332]
- Dan Bongino, NRATV contributor[333]
- David Bossie, political activist[331]
- Foster Friess, businessman and supporter of conservative Christian causes[331]
- Sean Hannity, talk show host, author, and conservative political commentator[334]
- Kyle Kashuv, school safety activist[335]
- Mark Levin, lawyer, author, and radio personality[336]
- Bernard Marcus, businessman[331]
- Rebekah Mercer, heiress, foundation director, and major Republican donor[331]
- Isaac Perlmutter, businessman, financier, CEO of Marvel Entertainment[331]
- Andrew Pollack, activist[337]
- David A. Siegel, businessman[331]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of U.S. President Donald Trump[338]
- Lara Trump, television host, producer, and daughter-in-law of U.S. President Donald Trump[339]
- Richard Uihlein, businessman and major Republican Party donor[331]
- Organizations
- Great America Committee[340]
- American Conservative Union[341]
- Freedom Partners Action Fund[342]
- Florida Medical Association[343]
- The Everglades Trust[344][345]
- *NRA Political Victory Fund[346][347]
- Florida Realtors Association[348]
- Florida Chamber of Commerce[349]
- Florida Police Benevolent Association[350]
- Broward Sheriff's Office Deputies Association[351]
- National Federation of Independent Business[352]
- JAXBIZ[353]
- International Union of Police Associations[354]
- Florida Police Chiefs Association[355]
- Florida Right to Life[356]
- First Coast Manufacturers Association[357]
- Newspapers
- U.S. senators
- Mike Gravel, former Democratic senator from Alaska (1969–1981) and Libertarian candidate for president in 2008[359]
- State officials
- Nancy Argenziano, former Florida state senator and Public Service Commissioner[159]
- Randy Wiseman, former Republican Chair of the Lake County School Board[160]
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[360] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post[361] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[362] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report[363] | Tilt D (flip) | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[364] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[365] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[366] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[367][p] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Politico[368] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Governing[369] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
- ^ a b Bruce Nathan with 4%
- ^ Bruce Nathan 4%, Don Baldauf 3%, Timothy Devine 2%, someone else 4.5%
- ^ Timothy Devine with 2%; Don Baldauf, Bob Langford, and Bruce Nathan with 1%; John Joseph Mercadante with 0%
- ^ Bruce Nathan with 2%, Don Baldouf, Timothy Levine, Bob Langford, and John Joseph Mercadante with 0%
- ^ Bruce Nathan with 3%, Ellen Wilds with 2%, Timothy Devine and Armando Rivas with 1%, someone else with 5%
- ^ Armando Rivas with 4%
- ^ Tim Devine, Ellen Wilds, Armando Rivas, and Bruce Nathan with 1%; Raphael Herman, Issak Almaleh, Joseph Mercadante, Frederick Dee Buntin, and Don Baldauf with <0.5%; Usha Jain with 0%; other with 1%
- ^ David Adams 8%, Tim Devine 5%, Bruce Nathan 2%, Don Baldauf 1%, someone else 8%
- ^ Bruce Nathan 2%, Angel Luis Rivera 2%, someone else 5%
- ^ Jackie Siegel 2%, Ron Bergeron 1%, Angel Luis Rivera 1%, Daniel Zutler 1%, someone else 5%
- ^ Daniel Zutler 3%, Jackie Siegel 2%, Ron Bergeron 1%, Bruce Nathan 1%, Angel Luis Rivera 1%, Usha Jain 0%, someone else 3%
- ^ Alex "Lundy" Lundmark and John Wetherbee with 1%
- ^ Alex "Lundy" Lundmark with 1%, John Wetherbee with 0%
- ^ Alex "Lundy" Lundmark and John Wetherbee with 0%
- ^ Louis McClanahan 2%, Josue Larose 1%, someone else 8%
- ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis (R) | Andrew Gillum (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R) | November 4–5, 2018 | 1,484 | ± 2.5% | 50% | 47% | 1% | 2% |
HarrisX | November 3–5, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 49% | – | – |
St. Pete Polls | November 3–4, 2018 | 3,088 | ± 1.8% | 45% | 50% | 2%[a] | 3% |
HarrisX | November 2–4, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 48% | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | October 29 – November 4, 2018 | 1,142 | ± 3.5% | 43% | 50% | 1% | 6% |
Emerson College | November 1–3, 2018 | 784 | ± 3.7% | 46% | 51% | 2% | 1% |
HarrisX | November 1–3, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 49% | – | – |
Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 47% | 2% | 5% |
St. Pete Polls | November 1–2, 2018 | 2,733 | ± 1.9% | 46% | 48% | 2%[a] | 4% |
HarrisX | October 31 – November 2, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 50% | – | – |
Marist College | October 30 – November 2, 2018 | 595 LV | ± 5.0% | 46% | 50% | <1% | 3% |
917 RV | ± 4.1% | 45% | 50% | <1% | 5% | ||
Gravis Marketing | October 29 – November 2, 2018 | 753 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 48% | – | 5% |
HarrisX | October 30 – November 1, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 50% | – | – |
Targoz Market Research | October 28–31, 2018 | 558 | – | 48% | 47% | – | 5% |
HarrisX | October 29–31, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 50% | – | – |
MWR Research/Consumer Energy Alliance[b] | October 25–31, 2020 | 1,005 | – | 40% | 41% | 1% | 18%[c] |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 29–30, 2018 | 2,543 | ± 1.9% | 46% | 48% | 3% | 2% |
Vox Populi Polling | October 27–30, 2018 | 696 | ± 3.7% | 47% | 53% | – | – |
HarrisX Archived November 5, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | October 24–30, 2018 | 1,400 | ± 2.6% | 42% | 44% | – | – |
Cygnal (R) | October 27–29, 2018 | 495 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 47% | 5% | 1% |
CNN/SSRS | October 24–29, 2018 | 781 LV | ± 4.3% | 48% | 49% | 0% | 2% |
887 RV | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 0% | 4% | ||
Suffolk University Archived October 30, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | October 25–28, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 45% | 1%[d] | 8% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College | October 23–27, 2018 | 737 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 8% |
University of North Florida Archived October 30, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | October 23–26, 2018 | 1,051 | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | <1% | 7% |
YouGov | October 23–26, 2018 | 991 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 2% | 5% |
Ipsos | October 17–25, 2018 | 1,069 | ± 3.4% | 44% | 50% | 3% | 3% |
Gravis Marketing | October 22–23, 2018 | 773 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 51% | – | 3% |
Strategic Research Associates Archived October 25, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | October 16–23, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 45% | – | 8% |
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis) | October 20–22, 2018 | 2,500 | ± 2.0% | 47% | 46% | 2% | 6% |
Saint Leo University | October 16–22, 2018 | 698 | ± 3.5% | 37% | 49% | 4% | 11% |
St. Pete Polls | October 20–21, 2018 | 1,575 | ± 2.5% | 46% | 47% | 2%[a] | 4% |
Florida Atlantic University | October 18–21, 2018 | 704 | ± 3.6% | 37% | 41% | 4% | 18% |
SurveyUSA | October 18–21, 2018 | 665 | ± 5.0% | 42% | 49% | 1% | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | October 17–21, 2018 | 1,161 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 52% | 1% | 2% |
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) | October 17–20, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 48% | – | 10% |
CNN/SSRS | October 16–20, 2018 | 759 LV | ± 4.2% | 42% | 54% | 0% | 4% |
872 RV | ± 3.9% | 42% | 52% | 0% | 5% | ||
OnMessage Inc. (R-Scott) | October 14–18, 2018 | 2,200 | ± 2.1% | 48% | 45% | 3%[a] | 4% |
St. Pete Polls | October 15–16, 2018 | 1,974 | ± 2.2% | 46% | 47% | 2%[a] | 5% |
Florida Southern College | October 1–5, 2018 | 476 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 47% | 5% | 4% |
Kaiser Family Foundation/SSRS | September 19 – October 2, 2018 | 522 | ± 6.0% | 40% | 48% | 1% | 10% |
St. Pete Polls | September 29–30, 2018 | 2,313 | ± 2.0% | 45% | 47% | 2%[a] | 6% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) | September 28–30, 2018 | 779 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | – | 8% |
Strategic Research Associates Archived November 22, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | September 17–30, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 43% | 44% | – | 12% |
Mason-Dixon | September 24–27, 2018 | 815 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 45% | 3% | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | September 22–24, 2018 | 888 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 54% | 0% | 2% |
Cherry Communications | September 19–24, 2018 | 622 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 48% | 2%[a] | 6% |
Marist College | September 16–20, 2018 | 600 LV | ± 4.7% | 43% | 48% | 1% | 7% |
829 RV | ± 4.0% | 41% | 49% | 1% | 10% | ||
University of North Florida Archived September 24, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | September 17–19, 2018 | 605 | – | 43% | 47% | <1% | 10% |
Florida Atlantic University | September 13–16, 2018 | 850 | ± 3.3% | 39% | 41% | 5% | 15% |
Ipsos Archived September 20, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | September 5–12, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 50% | 2% | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 10–11, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 48% | 2% | 8% |
SurveyUSA | September 7–9, 2018 | 634 | ± 5.3% | 43% | 47% | 1% | 9% |
Cherry Communications | September 6–9, 2018 | 514 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 47% | 2% | 8% |
St. Pete Polls | September 5–6, 2018 | 2,240 | ± 2.1% | 47% | 48% | – | 5% |
Quinnipiac University | August 30 – September 3, 2018 | 785 | ± 4.3% | 47% | 50% | 0% | 3% |
Gravis Marketing | August 29–30, 2018 | 1,225 | ± 2.8% | 45% | 47% | – | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | August 29–30, 2018 | 743 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 48% | – | 9% |
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 39% | 36% | – | 25% |
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 35% | 38% | – | 27% |
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 29% | 33% | – | 37% |
- with Ron DeSantis and Gwen Graham
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis (R) | Gwen Graham (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Frederick Polls (D) | August 16–20, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 40% | 44% | – | – |
Saint Leo University | August 10–16, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 31% | 36% | 9% | 24% |
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 38% | 42% | – | 20% |
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 34% | 44% | – | 22% |
Saint Leo University | May 25–31, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.5% | 16% | 22% | 13% | 49% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | April 10–11, 2018 | 661 | – | 36% | 40% | – | 24% |
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 30% | 33% | – | 37% |
- with Ron DeSantis and Jeff Greene
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis (R) | Jeff Greene (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 39% | 39% | 22% |
- with Ron DeSantis and Chris King
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis (R) | Chris King (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 35% | 37% | 29% |
- with Ron DeSantis and Philip Levine
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis (R) | Philip Levine (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Leo University | August 10–16, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 30% | 34% | 11% | 25% |
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 40% | 38% | – | 22% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | June 18–19, 2018 | 1,308 | – | 36% | 41% | – | – |
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 33% | 43% | – | 24% |
Saint Leo University | May 25–31, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.5% | 17% | 22% | 12% | 49% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | April 10–11, 2018 | 661 | – | 37% | 42% | – | 22% |
- with Adam Putnam and Andrew Gillum
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Adam Putnam (R) | Andrew Gillum (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 41% | 35% | 29% |
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 42% | 20% |
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 34% | 28% | 38% |
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 30% | 30% | 40% |
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 31% | 31% | 39% |
Cherry Communications | September 17–24, 2017 | 615 | – | 40% | 33% | – |
Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 32% | 31% | 37% |
- with Adam Putnam and Gwen Graham
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Adam Putnam (R) | Gwen Graham (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Leo University | August 10–16, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 36% | 31% | 9% | 24% |
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 40% | 39% | – | 20% |
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 45% | – | 17% |
Saint Leo University | May 25–31, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.5% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 43% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | April 10–11, 2018 | 661 | – | 36% | 37% | – | 27% |
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 34% | 32% | – | 34% |
Saint Leo University | February 18–24, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 45% |
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 33% | 29% | – | 38% |
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 32% | 32% | – | 37% |
Cherry Communications | September 17–24, 2017 | 615 | – | 39% | 37% | – | – |
Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 32% | 34% | – | 35% |
Cherry Communications | December 3–8, 2016 | 606 | – | 39% | 36% | – | 25% |
Gravis Marketing | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 34% | 37% | – | 30% |
- with Adam Putnam and Jeff Greene
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Adam Putnam (R) | Jeff Greene (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 41% | 39% | 20% |
- with Adam Putnam and Chris King
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Adam Putnam (R) | Chris King (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 38% | 23% |
Cherry Communications | September 17–24, 2017 | 615 | – | 40% | 31% | – |
- with Adam Putnam and Philip Levine
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Adam Putnam (R) | Philip Levine (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Leo University | August 10–16, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 37% | 30% | 9% | 25% |
Gravis Marketing | July 13–14, 2018 | 1,840 | ± 2.3% | 43% | 38% | – | 19% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | June 18–19, 2018 | 1,308 | – | 38% | 43% | – | – |
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 43% | – | 19% |
Saint Leo University | May 25–31, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.5% | 24% | 20% | 11% | 44% |
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | April 10–11, 2018 | 661 | – | 37% | 41% | – | 23% |
Cherry Communications | September 17–24, 2017 | 615 | – | 40% | 32% | – | – |
- with Bob White and Andrew Gillum
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob White (R) | Andrew Gillum (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 28% | 38% | 35% |
- with Bob White and Gwen Graham
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob White (R) | Gwen Graham (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 27% | 44% | 29% |
- with Bob White and Chris King
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob White (R) | Chris King (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 28% | 36% | 36% |
- with Bob White and Philip Levine
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bob White (R) | Philip Levine (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 29% | 42% | 29% |
- with generic Republican and Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morning Consult | May 29–30, 2018 | 1,199 | ± 3.0% | 38% | 40% | 22% |
Quinnipiac University Archived February 27, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | February 23–26, 2018 | 1,156 | ± 3.6% | 37% | 45% | 18% |
- with Richard Corcoran and Andrew Gillum
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Richard Corcoran (R) | Andrew Gillum (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 27% | 41% | 32% |
Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 26% | 33% | 42% |
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 26% | 33% | 41% |
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 23% | 32% | 46% |
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 22% | 33% | 45% |
- with Richard Corcoran and Gwen Graham
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Richard Corcoran (R) | Gwen Graham (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 27% | 44% | 29% |
Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 29% | 34% | 38% |
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 28% | 32% | 40% |
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 24% | 33% | 44% |
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 24% | 33% | 43% |
- with Richard Corcoran and Chris King
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Richard Corcoran (R) | Chris King (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 29% | 39% | 32% |
- with Richard Corcoran and Philip Levine
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Richard Corcoran (R) | Philip Levine (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 31 – June 15, 2018 | 485 | ± 4.5% | 29% | 43% | 28% |
- with Richard Corcoran and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Richard Corcoran (R) | John Morgan (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 27% | 39% | 34% |
- with David Jolly and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | David Jolly (R) | John Morgan (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 31% | 42% | 27% |
- with Jeff Atwater and Gwen Graham
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jeff Atwater (R) | Gwen Graham (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 32% | 40% | 28% |
- with Jeff Atwater and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jeff Atwater (R) | John Morgan (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 34% | 41% | 25% |
- with Pam Bondi and Gwen Graham
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pam Bondi (R) | Gwen Graham (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 36% | 44% | 20% |
- with Pam Bondi and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pam Bondi (R) | John Morgan (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 35% | 45% | 20% |
- with David Jolly and Gwen Graham
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | David Jolly (R) | Gwen Graham (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 29% | 40% | 31% |
- with Andrew Putnam, Andrew Gillum, and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Adam Putnam (R) | Andrew Gillum (D) | John Morgan (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 28% | 23% | 16% | 34% |
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 27% | 20% | 17% | 36% |
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 26% | 22% | 18% | 34% |
- with Andrew Putnam, Gwen Graham, and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Adam Putnam (R) | Gwen Graham (D) | John Morgan (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 29% | 22% | 17% | 32% |
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 28% | 21% | 17% | 34% |
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 27% | 23% | 17% | 33% |
- with Richard Corcoran, Andrew Gillum, and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Richard Corcoran (R) | Andrew Gillum (D) | John Morgan (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 25% | 23% | 17% | 34% |
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 20% | 21% | 17% | 41% |
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 39% |
- with Richard Corcoran, Gwen Graham, and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Richard Corcoran (R) | Gwen Graham (D) | John Morgan (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing | February 26 – March 19, 2018 | 2,212 | ± 2.1% | 26% | 21% | 16% | 37% |
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | February 1–18, 2018 | 1,978 | ± 2.2% | 20% | 23% | 16% | 41% |
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | December 19–24, 2017 | 5,778 | ± 1.3% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 38% |
- with Adam Putnam and John Morgan
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Adam Putnam (R) | John Morgan (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Leo University | November 19–24, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 19% | 24% | 8% | 49% |
Cherry Communications | September 17–24, 2017 | 615 | – | 40% | 37% | – | – |
Saint Leo University | September 10–16, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 18% | 24% | 16% | 42% |
Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | March 28–29, 2017 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 33% | 34% | – | 32% |
Saint Leo University | March 3–11, 2017 | 507 | ± 4.5% | 20% | 26% | 13% | 42% |
Cherry Communications | December 3–8, 2016 | 606 | – | 40% | 37% | – | 23% |
Gravis Marketing | November 22–25, 2016 | 3,250 | ± 2.4% | 35% | 39% | – | 26% |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ron DeSantis | 4,076,186 | 49.59% | +1.45% | |
Democratic | Andrew Gillum | 4,043,723 | 49.19% | +2.12% | |
Reform | Darcy Richardson | 47,140 | 0.57% | N/A | |
Independent | Kyle "KC" Gibson | 24,310 | 0.30% | N/A | |
Independent | Ryan Christopher Foley | 14,630 | 0.18% | N/A | |
Independent | Bruce Stanley | 14,505 | 0.18% | N/A | |
Write-in | 67 | 0.00% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 8,220,561 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic[edit]
- Duval (largest municipality: Jacksonville)
- Seminole (largest municipality: Sanford)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican[edit]
- Jefferson (largest city: Monticello)
- Monroe (largest city: Key West)
Analysis[edit]
The close margin mandated a machine recount, which had a deadline of November 15, 2018. If the margin was below 0.25% after machine recount, Ken Detzner, the Secretary of State of Florida, would commission a manual recount of over-votes and under-votes.[371] However, after the recount was complete, DeSantis' margin was 0.40%; therefore he was certified the winner. Gillum conceded on November 17.[372]
On November 10, 2022, former president Donald Trump claimed on his Truth Social page that he had prematurely ended the recount to prevent DeSantis and Senate candidate Rick Scott from losing, under the unsubstantiated belief that ballots for them were being removed.[373] Florida Commissioner of Agriculture Nikki Fried has asked Attorney General Merrick Garland to investigate. [374] Sarah Isgur, the spokeswoman of the Department of Justice from 2017 to 2019, has said that it "never happened,"[375] a position which was supported by other former Department of Justice officials.[376] Broward County Commissioner Steven Geller has agreed that no interference took place.[377]
Voter demographics[edit]
Demographic subgroup | Gillum | DeSantis | No Answer | % of Voters |
---|---|---|---|---|
Gender | ||||
Men | 41 | 58 | 1 | 45 |
Women | 57 | 42 | 1 | 55 |
Age | ||||
18–24 years old | 58 | 40 | 2 | 5 |
25–29 years old | 64 | 34 | 2 | 5 |
30–39 years old | 65 | 35 | N/A | 10 |
40–49 years old | 49 | 50 | 1 | 12 |
50–64 years old | 48 | 52 | N/A | 31 |
65 and older | 43 | 56 | 1 | 36 |
Race | ||||
White | 39 | 60 | 1 | 66 |
Black | 86 | 14 | N/A | 13 |
Latino | 54 | 44 | 2 | 15 |
Asian | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2 |
Other | 65 | 33 | 2 | 4 |
Race by gender | ||||
White men | 31 | 69 | N/A | 31 |
White women | 47 | 51 | 2 | 35 |
Black men | 91 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
Black women | 82 | 18 | N/A | 8 |
Latino men | 49 | 49 | 2 | 6 |
Latina women | 58 | 41 | 1 | 9 |
Others | 65 | 34 | 1 | 5 |
Education | ||||
High school or less | 44 | 54 | 2 | 20 |
Some college education | 51 | 48 | 1 | 25 |
Associate degree | 47 | 51 | 2 | 15 |
Bachelor's degree | 47 | 52 | 1 | 24 |
Advanced degree | 57 | 42 | 1 | 16 |
Education and race | ||||
White college graduates | 46 | 54 | N/A | 27 |
White no college degree | 34 | 64 | 2 | 39 |
Non-white college graduates | 61 | 38 | 1 | 12 |
Non-white no college degree | 73 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
Whites by education and gender | ||||
White women with college degrees | 57 | 42 | 1 | 13 |
White women without college degrees | 41 | 58 | 1 | 28 |
White men with college degrees | 35 | 65 | N/A | 14 |
White men without college degrees | 26 | 73 | 1 | 17 |
Non-whites | 69 | 30 | 1 | 34 |
Income | ||||
Under $30,000 | 63 | 36 | 1 | 19 |
$30,000–49,999 | 49 | 51 | N/A | 22 |
$50,000–99,999 | 52 | 47 | 1 | 33 |
$100,000–199,999 | 50 | 50 | N/A | 19 |
Over $200,000 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 7 |
Party ID | ||||
Democrats | 93 | 7 | N/A | 33 |
Republicans | 7 | 92 | 1 | 38 |
Independents | 54 | 44 | 2 | 29 |
Party by gender | ||||
Democratic men | 90 | 10 | N/A | 12 |
Democratic women | 95 | 5 | N/A | 21 |
Republican men | 7 | 93 | N/A | 19 |
Republican women | 7 | 90 | 3 | 18 |
Independent men | 50 | 49 | 1 | 14 |
Independent women | 58 | 39 | 3 | 16 |
Ideology | ||||
Liberals | 90 | 9 | 1 | 22 |
Moderates | 61 | 38 | 1 | 39 |
Conservatives | 13 | 85 | 2 | 39 |
Marital status | ||||
Married | 44 | 55 | 1 | 64 |
Unmarried | 56 | 42 | 2 | 36 |
Gender by marital status | ||||
Married men | 34 | 65 | 1 | 32 |
Married women | 52 | 47 | 1 | 31 |
Unmarried men | 46 | 51 | 3 | 14 |
Unmarried women | 61 | 37 | 2 | 23 |
First-time midterm election voter | ||||
Yes | 56 | 40 | 4 | 16 |
No | 47 | 53 | N/A | 84 |
Most important issue facing the country | ||||
Health care | 74 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
Immigration | 18 | 80 | 2 | 30 |
Economy | 30 | 69 | 1 | 16 |
Gun policy | 77 | 23 | N/A | 10 |
Area type | ||||
Urban | 57 | 42 | 1 | 42 |
Suburban | 45 | 53 | 2 | 50 |
Rural | 36 | 64 | N/A | 8 |
Source: CNN[378] |
See also[edit]
Notes[edit]
References[edit]
- ^ "November 6, 2018 General Election". Florida Department of State. Retrieved May 15, 2022.
- ^ "November 6, 2018 General Election — Voter Registration and Turnout". Florida Department of State. Retrieved June 5, 2022.
- ^ "Florida gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2018". Ballotpedia. Retrieved March 28, 2018.
- ^ "Florida Governor Election Results: Andrew Gillum vs. Ron DeSantis". The New York Times. Retrieved November 7, 2018.
- ^ "Candidate Tracking System". Florida Department of State. May 3, 2017. Retrieved March 28, 2018.
- ^ "Florida Governor Republican Primary: Q&A with Don Baldauf". Sarasota Herald. Archived from the original on August 3, 2018. Retrieved December 11, 2018.
- ^ "Candidate Tracking System". Florida Department of State. January 9, 2017. Archived from the original on March 30, 2018. Retrieved March 28, 2018.
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