In the run-up to the 2024 Croatian parliamentary election , various organisations have been carrying out monthly opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Croatia . Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range is from after the previous parliamentary election , held on 5 July 2020, to the present day.
Graphical summary [ edit ] The following graph depicts the evolution of standings of the two main political parties and three other parties in the poll average since last parliamentary elections.
LOESS curve of the polling for the 2024 Croatian Parliamentary Election. Party standings [ edit ] Surveys in Croatia are conducted by specialized companies in the field of public opinion polls, and their results are published in cooperation with national television or newspapers. The media that publish the results are listed in the table below according to which TV show they publish the results, with which poll company they cooperate, the size of the poll, the number of polls conducted so far and the time of publication of the results.
Media Presentation of the results Polling firm Poll size Conducted polls Time of publication of polls HRT Dnevnik 2 at 19:00 (CET ) Promocija plus 1,000-1,400 19 20th of the month (except in April 2022) RTL RTL Danas at 19:00 (CET ) 1,300 43 Between 4th and 10th of the month, usually on Sunday Nova TV Dnevnik Nove TV at 19:00 (CET ) Ipsos 976–996 45 Between 23rd and 26th of the month[a] N1 N1 Newsroom at 16:00 (CET ) Masmi 1,300 1 One year after last general elections Večernji list Internet publication 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 11 Between 24th and 30th of the month
Poll results published by major media are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date of publication, name of polling firm with a link to the page of results and poll size. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then all tied parties cells would be shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party or the support percentage is less than 1.0%, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown with a dash. Table also include other elections that are held between two parliamentary elections.
Publication date Polling firm Votes HDZ SDP DP Most Možemo RF Centar Fokus KH HNS IDS HSS HSU HS SD Others Undecided Lead 17 Apr 2024 2024 elections 2,180,985 34.3 25.4 9.6 8.0 9.1 0.8 [b] 2.3 [c] [d] 2.2 [e] [f] [g] [h] 8.3 - 8.9 25 Mar 2024 Ipsos 1,000 29.8 19.4 7.9 7.6 7.0 - - - - - - - - - - 16.1 12.2 10.4 22 Mar 2024 SDP , Centre , GLAS , NS R , HSS and SSIP presented Rivers of Justice coalition . [1] 20 Mar 2024 Promocija plus 1,000 27.7 21.6 7.7 7.1 9.0 1.0 1.2 1.1 - 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 - - 6.1[i] 13.0 6.1 17 Mar 2024 Ipsos 604 27.3 22.6 7.9 8.7 8.7 - - - - - - - - - - 14.9 10.1 4.7 15 Mar 2024 Croatian president Zoran Milanović entered the race as SDP candidate for Prime Minister[2] 10 Mar 2024 Promocija plus 1,300 26.5 17.9 7.7 7.9 7.8 1.0 1.9 1.0 - 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.1 - - 7.3[j] 16.1 8.6 23 Feb 2024 Ipsos 989 28.7 13.9 6.9 7.0 7.6 - - - - - - - - - - 17.2 18.1 14.8 20 Feb 2024 Promocija plus 1,000 25.2 17.3 8.5 8.7 8.1 - 1.2 1.0 - 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.1 - - 7.5 17.7 7.9 4 Feb 2024 Promocija Plus 1,300 25.6 16.0 8.4 9.1 8.9 1.0 1.5 1.0 - - 1.3 1.1 - - - 7.3[k] 18.8 9.6 27 Jan 2024 Promocija Plus 1,000 25.6 15.8 7.9 8.1 8.3 1.1 1.9 1.6 - 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.0 - 1.1 4.4 18.2 9.8 25 Jan 2024 Ipsos 995 29.1 13.5 7.6 6.6 6.7 - - - - - - - - - - 17.9 18.6 15.6 10 Jan 2024 Promocija Plus 1,300 25.9 15.8 7.8 8.4 8.7 1.0 1.4 1.5 - 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.0 1.0 1.1 4.2 18.5 10.1 2024 22 Dec 2023 Ipsos 987 28.2 12.9 8.4 7.5 6.8 - - - - 1.3 - 2.2 2.8 - 1.3 8.9[l] 19.7 15.3 16 Dec 2023 DHSS and DP presented coalition.[3] 10 Dec 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.0 15.5 7.9 7.7 9.2 1.7 1.9 1.4 - 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.0 4.2 18.8 9.5 9 Dec 2023 Fokus , IDS , NS R and PGS presented coalition.[4] 24 Nov 2023 Ipsos 990 29.5 12.6 7.9 8.1 7.9 - - - - 1.5 - 1.1 1.6 - - 11.8[m] 18.0 16.9 20 Nov 2023 Promocija plus 1,100 25.2 15.4 8.3 7.0 9.9 1.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 - 1.1 - 5.7[n] 17.7 9.8 12 Nov 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.3 15.2 8.4 7.4 11.0 1.7 1.8 1.4 - 1.2 1.0 1.3 - 1.0 1.1 5.5 16.7 10.1 25 Oct 2023 Ipsos 993 29.8 13.4 7.7 9.2 8.2 - - - - 1.3 - 1.7 2.3 - - 9.8[o] 16.6 16.4 20 Oct 2023 Promocija plus 1,100 25.7 15.8 7.3 7.9 10.9 1.9 2.0 1.3 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.4 - - - 6.2 16.4 9.9 17 Oct 2023 HL , HSS and SD presented coalition.[5] 8 Oct 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.6 15.6 7.5 8.2 11.4 1.8 1.7 1.0 - 1.1 - 1.4 - - 1.2 7.0 16.5 10.0 25 Sep 2023 Ipsos 988 29.9 12.4 6.5 8.9 9.0 - - - - 1.6 2.0 1.2 1.4 - - 10.2[p] 16.9 17.5 20 Sep 2023 Promocija plus 1,100 25.6 15.5 7.4 8.3 11.2 1.1 1.8 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.4 - - - 6.6[q] 16.5 10.1 10 Sep 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.4 15.5 7.8 8.6 11.0 1.2 2.3 1.1 - 1.1 1.0 1.3 - 1.0 - 5.8[r] 16.9 9.9 25 Aug 2023 Ipsos 989 27.9 11.5 6.5 8.7 10.4 - - - - 1.1 2.8 1.7 2.1 - 1.6 8.8[s] 16.9 16.3 6 Aug 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.2 14.7 7.7 8.8 11.2 1.4 2.5 1.0 - - 1.0 1.4 - - 1.2 7.3[t] 16.6 10.5 25 Jul 2023 Ipsos 977 29.4 10.7 7.1 8.0 10.6 - - - - 1.6 1.7 2.4 2.6 1.4 - 9.1 15.4 18.7 9 Jul 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.5 16.7 7.5 8.5 9.7 1.4 2.8 1.2 - - 1.1 1.5 - 1.3 - 6.1[u] 16.7 8.8 8 Jul 2023 HS and Most presented the coalition.[6] 4 Jul 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 25.0 15.5 7.5 8.1 8.8 1.1 2.1 1.4 - - 1.8 1.6 3.1 2.1 1.5 3.4 17.0 9.5 25 Jun 2023 Ipsos 992 28.6 11.7 7.2 8.9 10.0 - 1.0 1.0 - 1.3 2.1 - 1.8 - - 8.1[v] 18.3 17.0 4 Jun 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 26.2 16.7 7.1 8.2 9.4 2.0 3.0 1.2 - - 1.1 1.7 - 1.3 - 5.9[w] 16.2 9.5 27 May 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 24.6 15.3 7.5 8.5 9.5 - - - - - - - 3.2 2.2 2.1 - 27.1 9.3 25 May 2023 Ipsos 992 30.3 12.6 6.9 7.3 9.0 - 1.4 - - 1.4 - 1.6 2.3 1.2 1.3 7.4[x] 17.3 17.7 20 May 2023 Promocija plus 1,100 26.8 16.7 6.2 8.6 9.7 1.2 3.4 1.2 1.3 - 1.3 1.4 - 1.1 - 4.4 15.8 10.1 7 May 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.9 16.2 6.6 8.8 9.2 1.6 3.2 1.5 1.2 - 1.1 1.3 - 1.4 - 5.1 16.9 9.7 28 Apr 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 23.5 15.2 7.4 9.4 10.0 1.7 1.9 1.4 - - 1.7 1.5 3.1 2.4 2.3 2.4 16.1 8.3 25 Apr 2023 Ipsos 982 30.9 13.6 6.0 8.7 8.8 - 1.8 - - 1.2 1.9 - 1.2 - - 8.9[y] 17.0 17.3 20 Apr 2023 Promocija plus 1,100 26.1 16.0 6.1 9.0 9.7 1.8 3.4 1.3 - - 1.0 1.8 - 1.1 1.0 5.9 15.8 10.1 9 Apr 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.8 15.6 6.7 8.3 9.4 1.8 3.4 1.5 - - 1.1 1.6 - 1.4 - 6.7 16.7 10.2 1 Apr 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 23.6 14.8 7.7 9.2 9.8 2.0 1.8 1.2 - - 1.6 - 3.3 2.2 2.3 3.6 16.9 8.8 24 Mar 2023 Ipsos 991 30.4 12.4 6.4 8.4 7.2 - 2.2 - - - 1.8 1.2 2.0 - - 8.8 19.2 18.0 20 Mar 2023 Promocija plus 1,100 26.1 15.8 6.8 9.3 9.8 1.6 3.4 1.2 1.0 1.0 - 1.2 - - 1.1 6.3 15.4 10.3 5 Mar 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.7 15.4 6.8 9.3 9.8 1.3 3.2 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.2 - 1.0 1.1 4.2 16.5 10.3 25 Feb 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 24.1 14.7 7.5 9.5 9.6 1.5 2.1 - - - 1.7 1.3 3.2 2.3 3.0 2.2 16.8 9.4 24 Feb 2023 Ipsos 991 29.3 12.2 5.7 9.0 8.6 - 2.8 1.5 - 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 - - 9.4[z] 15.1 17.1 5 Feb 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 25.5 15.0 6.3 9.1 9.7 1.4 3.0 1.4 - 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.0 1.1 1.6 5.1 16.4 10.5 1 Feb 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 25.4 15.3 7.2 9.3 9.9 1.5 2.0 - - - 1.3 1.2 3.0 2.1 3.1 2.6 16.1 10.1 25 Jan 2023 Ipsos 996 30.0 11.6 6.3 8.7 8.0 - 1.1 - - 1.4 2.0 2.3 2.2 1.3 1.5 7.1[aa] 16.5 18.4 8 Jan 2023 Promocija plus 1,300 26.4 14.8 6.1 9.1 10.1 1.3 3.0 1.4 1.2 - 1.0 1.2 - 1.0 1.7 5.4 16.3 11.6 2023 30 Dec 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 24.7 14.7 7.0 9.1 10.0 1.4 2.1 - - - 1.3 - 3.1 2.1 2.2 4.8 17.5 10.0 23 Dec 2022 Ipsos 990 30.7 12.3 6.8 8.0 7.5 1.6 - - - 1.8 2.1 1.5 1.4 1.1 - 7.5 17.7 18.4 4 Dec 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 26.9 15.4 5.9 9.0 10.2 1.9 2.9 1.3 1.1 - 1.1 1.2 - - 1.5 6.2 15.4 11.5 26 Nov 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 23.5 14.9 7.0 9.4 10.3 1.4 2.0 - - - 1.3 - 3.1 2.0 2.5 4.9 17.7 8.6 25 Nov 2022 Ipsos 990 29.9 11.7 5.8 8.3 8.6 - 1.0 1.5 - 1.9 3.0 - 1.6 1.6 - 7.6 17.5 18.2 20 Nov 2022 Promocija plus 1,400 25.7 15.7 5.5 8.5 10.8 1.2 3.0 1.2 - - 1.0 1.3 - - 1.5 6.5 18.1 10.0 6 Nov 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 24.7 16.5 6.1 9.5 10.0 1.2 2.2 1.4 - - - 1.3 - 1.1 1.3 7.4 17.3 8.2 29 Oct 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 23.1 15.2 7.1 9.5 10.4 1.2 2.1 - - - 1.2 - 3.1 1.9 2.6 4.7 17.9 7.9 25 Oct 2022 Ipsos 987 28.4 12.7 6.2 8.9 7.9 - - 1.9 1.5 2.1 2.9 1.7 3.6 - - 9.9 12.3 15.7 20 Oct 2022 Promocija plus 1,400 24.6 16.2 5.4 9.3 11.2 1.2 2.7 1.3 1.0 - 1.1 1.5 - - 1.6 5.0 17.9 8.4 9 Oct 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 24.4 16.7 6.0 9.2 10.6 - 2.3 1.4 - - - 1.4 - - 1.4 8.8 17.8 7.7 26 Sep 2022 Ipsos 986 28.1 13.2 5.7 8.6 8.4 1.8 - 2.0 - - 3.2 - 3.3 - - 12.5 13.2 14.9 24 Sep 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 23.9 15.0 7.2 9.7 9.7 1.0 2.0 - - - 1.2 - 3.1 2.1 3.3 4.2 17.6 8.9 20 Sep 2022 Promocija plus 1,400 25.2 16.7 5.7 8.7 10.9 1.2 2.3 1.4 1.2 - 1.0 1.5 - 1.0 1.3 4.0 17.9 8.5 4 Sep 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 24.2 16.6 5.5 9.4 10.6 - 2.2 1.6 1.6 - - 1.8 - - 1.3 7.1 18.1 7.6 30 Aug 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 25.9 14.8 6.9 9.2 9.9 - 1.7 - - - 1.4 - 2.2 1.9 3.0 5.7 17.4 11.1 25 Aug 2022 Ipsos 981 30.1 13.2 4.0 9.2 9.0 - - 2.5 1.5 - 2.9 1.5 2.5 - - 7.2 16.4 16.9 7 Aug 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 27.1 16.1 5.8 8.4 10.6 1.1 1.9 1.3 - - - 1.3 - - 1.0 7.6 17.8 11.0 2 Aug 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 26.2 15.5 6.7 9.1 10.7 - 1.8 - - - 1.4 - 1.7 2.2 3.7 1.9 19.1 10.7 25 Jul 2022 Ipsos 984 29.1 13.9 5.1 8.2 9.9 - 1.6 1.5 - - 1.8 1.9 2.1 1.1 - 7.0[ab] 16.8 15.2 10 Jul 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 27.3 17.5 5.5 8.4 11.6 - 2.6 - - - 1.0 1.1 - - - 6.6 18.4 9.8 24 Jun 2022 Ipsos 990 29.3 12.8 6.3 9.1 8.9 1.0 2.2 - - 1.9 2.1 1.9 2.1 1.1 - 4.3[ac] 16.8 16.5 5 Jun 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 26.7 16.6 5.1 9.2 12.3 - 2.0 1.1 1.0 - 1.0 1.7 - - - 5.6 17.7 10.1 27 May 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,041 24.9 16.7 5.1 9.9 14.3 - 1.1 - - - 1.4 - - 1.3 - 7.4 17.9 8.2 25 May 2022 Ipsos 976 30.0 14.1 5.6 10.2 10.2 - 1.2 - 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.6 3.1 - - 6.3[ad] 12.6 15.9 20 May 2022 Promocija plus 1,400 26.4 17.7 4.6 9.1 12.0 - 2.0 1.1 - 1.0 1.1 1.6 - - - 6.3 17.1 8.7 8 May 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 26.1 17.5 4.8 9.2 12.6 - 1.9 1.2 - 1.1 1.0 1.6 - - - 5.9 17.1 8.6 25 Apr 2022 Ipsos 987 28.6 15.9 4.8 9.0 9.1 - 2.3 - 1.1 1.9 1.9 - 2.0 - - 7.0[ae] 16.4 12.7 24 Apr 2022 Promocija plus 1,400 25.2 17.0 5.7 9.7 12.3 - 2.0 1.3 - 1.0 1.1 1.8 - - - 5.8 17.1 8.2 10 Apr 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 25.4 17.1 4.7 10.3 12.8 - 1.6 1.2 - - 1.0 1.7 - - - 6.9 17.3 8.3 25 Mar 2022 Ipsos 990 28.1 14.0 5.6 10.1 10.7 1.0 2.6 1.2 1.7 1.3 - 1.3 1.1 1.4 - 4.0 16.0 14.1 20 Mar 2022 Promocija plus 1,400 25.0 16.1 6.5 10.2 12.2 - 1.6 1.3 - 1.1 1.2 1.7 - - - 6.2 16.9 8.9 6 Mar 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 25.2 17.0 6.3 10.6 12.5 - 1.4 1.3 - - 1.0 1.6 - - - 6.7 16.4 8.2 25 Feb 2022 Ipsos 600[af] 26.9 13.7 6.4 12.4 12.9 - 1.6 - 2.8 - 1.4 1.1 2.6 - - 5.2[ag] 13.0 13.2 6 Feb 2022 Promocija Plus 1,300 26.2 17.9 4.3 11.1 12.9 - 1.3 1.5 - - 1.0 1.2 - - - 7.4 15.8 8.3 25 Jan 2022 Ipsos 991 30.4 13.5 6.0 8.8 9.4 1.2 2.3 1.6 - 1.0 1.8 - 1.2 - - 6.0 16.8 16.9 9 Jan 2022 Promocija Plus 1,300 26.1 16.9 3.7 12.4 13.3 1.0 1.4 1.4 - - 1.1 1.2 - 1.3 - 6.3 15.2 9.2 2022 24 Dec 2021 Ipsos 987 29.7 13.1 5.3 10.6 8.8 - 1.3 1.3 2.4 1.2 1.7 1.6 - - - 5.5 17.2 16.6 5 Dec 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.1 16.1 4.9 8.5 14.2 - 1.2 1.6 - - 1.0 1.1 - 1.5 - 6.1 16.7 11.0 25 Nov 2021 Ipsos 990 29.5 13.2 4.8 9.4 10.3 - 2.6 - 2.3 1.5 - - 1.2 1.2 - 6.3 17.6 16.3 20 Nov 2021 Promocija plus 1,400 27.5 15.7 4.5 8.0 15.4 - 1.5 1.5 1.2 - 1.2 1.6 - 1.4 - 4.5 16.0 11.8 7 Nov 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.4 16.0 5.0 8.0 15.9 - 1.2 1.3 1.1 - 1.0 1.3 - 1.2 - 5.1 15.5 11.4 25 Oct 2021 Ipsos 981 30.9 12.2 4.5 8.2 11.2 - 2.0 - 1.9 2.0 1.6 2.0 - 1.7 - 7.2[ah] 14.6 18.7 20 Oct 2021 Promocija plus 1,400 27.3 15.9 4.1 6.8 16.1 - 1.3 1.5 1.2 - 1.0 1.5 - 1.3 - 5.4 16.6 11.2 10 Oct 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.6 16.1 3.7 6.7 17.1 - 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.3 - 1.0 - 4.2 16.2 10.5 23 Sep 2021 Ipsos 990 30.8 13.4 5.2 8.3 13.6 - - 1.1 1.8 - 1.7 - 1.5 1.4 - 6.2[ai] 15.0 17.2 20 Sep 2021 Promocija plus 1,400 27.1 17.1 3.9 8.5 16.1 - 1.5 1.7 - - 1.4 1.5 - 1.4 - 5.3 14.5 10.0 5 Sep 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.3 17.9 3.8 7.7 17.2 - 1.8 1.9 - - 1.0 1.5 - - - 6.2 13.7 9.4 25 Aug 2021 Ipsos 987 30.0 12.7 5.0 8.9 15.6 1.3 1.1 1.5 1.2 - - - 2.7 - - 5.8 14.2 14.4 26 Jul 2021 Ipsos 984 29.8 14.3 7.7 7.6 14.9 - 1.6 1.6 2.0 - - 1.6 2.8 - - 8.1[aj] 8.0 14.9 11 Jul 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.4 18.7 6.4 4.8 16.9 - 1.2 1.3 - 1.1 1.2 1.5 - - - 5.7 13.7 8.7 7 Jul 2021 Masmi 1,300 30.9 15.2 8.4 7.4 13.5 1.4 1.1 1.7 - - - - - - - 6.0[ak] 12.1 15.7 25 Jun 2021 Ipsos 991 30.7 13.4 6.4 6.8 12.6 - - 1.1 2.4 - - 2.6 1.5 - - 7.5 15.0 17.3 6 Jun 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 26.8 18.9 8.2 5.4 13.4 - 1.5 1.4 - 1.4 - 1.7 - - - 7.4[al] 13.9 7.9 30 May 2021 2021 Croatian local elections - second round 25 May 2021 Ipsos 986 30.5 15.2 7.3 6.7 9.4 - 2.2 1.3 1.4 1.2 2.8 1.5 1.3 - - 5.5 13.7 15.3 16 May 2021 2021 Croatian local elections - first round 9 May 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 26.7 19.6 8.2 7.1 9.1 - 1.0 1.0 - 1.2 1.3 1.6 - - - 8.6[am] 14.6 7.1 23 Apr 2021 Ipsos 986 29.3 15.1 6.6 7.7 8.7 1.7 1.2 - 3.4 - 1.1 1.0 1.0 - - 6.4 16.8 14.2 20 Apr 2021 Promocija plus 1,400 27.1 18.7 7.7 7.0 9.0 - 2.2 1.0 1.3 1.0 1.4 1.4 - - - 6.5[an] 15.7 8.4 4 Apr 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 26.8 19.3 7.9 7.6 8.2 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.0 - - 6.1[ao] 14.3 7.5 25 Mar 2021 Ipsos 993 29.1 16.0 6.2 7.3 9.4 1.0 1.6 - 2.1 1.1 - 1.3 2.3 - - 5.9[ap] 16.6 13.1 20 Mar 2021 Promocija plus 1,400 27.3 18.8 8.1 7.5 8.7 - 1.8 1.2 1.1 - 1.2 1.2 - - - 7.0[aq] 16.1 8.5 7 Mar 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.0 19.5 7.5 7.2 8.3 - 1.4 1.5 1.2 - 1.1 1.1 - - - 8.4[ar] 15.8 7.5 25 Feb 2021 Ipsos 990 30.9 17.2 6.8 8.0 9.3 1.3 2.1 - 1.2 - 1.4 1.4 - - - 7.1 13.3 13.7 7 Feb 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.7 19.9 7.2 7.3 8.3 - 2.1 - 1.0 - 1.6 1.5 - - - 7.8[as] 15.6 7.8 25 Jan 2021 Ipsos 987 31.1 16.6 7.3 7.8 9.6 1.3 3.0 1.5 2.0 - 1.6 - 2.1 - - 7.8 8.3 14.5 10 Jan 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 28.0 19.6 6.3 7.4 8.4 - 2.9 - - - 1.6 1.3 - - - 9.0[at] 15.5 8.4 2021 24 Dec 2020 Ipsos 991 30.8 16.2 9.4 8.3 8.6 1.1 4.3 1.8 1.4 - 1.2 - 2.3 1.2 - 8.3[au] 5.1 14.6 6 Dec 2020 Promocija plus 1,300 29.2 20.5 7.9 8.7 6.4 - 2.2 - 1.7 - 1.7 1.6 - - - 6.7[av] 13.4 8.7 25 Nov 2020 Ipsos 983 31.5 17.6 7.5 7.4 6.5 1.1 3.6 - - 1.4 1.2 2.1 1.6 1.7 - - 6.3 10.5 13.9 8 Nov 2020 Promocija plus 1,300 29.1 19.8 7.3 8.6 7.6 - 1.5 2.3 - 1.4 - 1.4 2.1 - - - 6.1[aw] 12.8 9.3 26 Oct 2020 Ipsos 983 32.5 18.7 8.4 7.3 6.7 - 3.8 1.4 - 2.1 - 1.4 1.6 1.5 - - 4.7 9.9 12.8 8 Oct 2020 Promocija plus 1,300 30.4 18.2 8.2 8.4 9.0 - 1.0 2.8 - 1.0 - 1.2 1.4 - - - 6.0[ax] 12.4 12.2 25 Sep 2020 Ipsos 989 33.7 17.1 7.9 6.2 8.2 - 2.7 1.8 - 1.1 - 1.5 1.3 1.0 - - 5.7 11.8 16.6 6 Sep 2020 Promocija plus 1,300 32.8 18.4 7.8 7.6 8.9 - 2.1 2.0 - - - 1.3 1.4 - - - 6.5 11.2 14.4 25 Aug 2020 Ipsos 981 33.1 16.4 6.1 7.0 8.6 - 3.4 2.0 - 1.7 1.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 - - 5.8 9.9 16.7 6 Aug 2020 Promocija plus 1,300 32.9 18.1 8.6 8.3 11.0 - 1.3 2.6 - - - 1.2 1.3 - - - - - 14.8 25 Jul 2020 Ipsos 989 30.2 18.4 6.9 8.2 8.7 1.9 1.9 - 2.0 - 1.9 1.3 1.2 - - 8.6[ay] 8.8 11.8 5 Jul 2020 2020 elections 1,705,686 37.3 24.9 10.9 7.4 7.0 4.0 2.3 1.3 -[az] -[az] -[az] -[ba] -[bb] 4.9[bc] - 12.4
Coalition standings [ edit ] Poll results published by major national televisions are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date of publication. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading coalition's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two coalitions with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a coalition, the coalition's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty. Exit poll
Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! Others Undecided Lead 17 Apr 2024 Final Result 34.4 25.4 9.6 8.0 9.1 13.5 - 9.0 25 Mar 2024 IPSOS 28.6 22.6 8.9 7.4 7.4 - - 6.0 20 Mar 2024 Promocija Plus 29.1 25.2 7.1 7.1 7.7 - - 3.9 13 Mar 2024 Promocija Plus 26.8 21.6 8.2 8.4 8.8 - - 5.2
Seat projections (without Diaspora) [ edit ] Per electoral district [ edit ] 1st Electoral district [ edit ] Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Others Undecided Lead 17 Apr 2024 2024 election 27.7 24.4 9.3 7.4 19.9 3.4 7.9 - 3.3 14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 28.5 21.5 6.5 5.2 14.8 - - - 7.0 14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 26.2 21.2 6.4 5.4 18.6 3.6 - 10.7 5.0 10 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 26.8 22.3 6.7 5.2 13.5 2.9 - - 4.5 22 Mar 2024 2x1 komunikacije 27.0 29.5 6.8 7.8 10.0 3.0 - 12.0 2.5
Seat projections [ edit ] 2nd Electoral district [ edit ] Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Others Undecided Lead 17 Apr 2024 2024 election 35.3 24.8 11.1 9.1 8.6 2.8 8.3 - 10.5 14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 32.6 21.5 8.3 7.0 7.3 3.8 - - 11.1 14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 30.2 19.8 12.5 10.7 8.4 3.0 - 10.6 10.4 10 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 31.4 20.6 9.0 7.4 7.5 2.6 - - 10.8 7 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 35.5 25.0 5.8 9.0 6.5 5.8 3.6 8.8 10.5
Seat projections [ edit ] 3rd Electoral district [ edit ] Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F NPS Others Undecided Lead 17 Apr 2024 2024 election 27.6 36.8 5.1 3.8 6.2 0.9 12.2 7.4 - 9.2 13 Apr 2024 IPSOS 28.8 34.9 4.7 4.6 6.7 - 7.3 2.5 7.3 6.1 12 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 25.0 35.9 5.0 - 4.4 - 10.0 - - 10.9 6 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 25.2 35.2 5.6 4.2 4.5 - 9.3 3.5 12.7 10.0 28 Mar 2024 2x1 komunikacije 26.0 40.0 2.8 5.3 5.5 1.5 6.0 3.5 10.0 14.0
Seat projections [ edit ] 4th Electoral district [ edit ] Seat projections [ edit ] 5th Electoral district [ edit ] Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! UZ Others Undecided Lead 17 Apr 2024 2024 election 42.8 19.6 17.4 8.5 3.6 2.1 6.0 - 23.2 13 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 37.3 19.5 15.0 5.4 3.5 3.9 - - 17.8 13 Apr 2024 IPSOS 39.3 16.9 19.2 5.7 4.2 - 2.5 8.7 22.4 7 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 36.4 20.1 15.9 5.8 2.3 3.8 7.3 12.2 16.3 4 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 44.3 16.5 16.0 9.3 2.8 - 4.1 7.0 27.8
Seat projections [ edit ] 6th Electoral district [ edit ] Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Others Undecided Lead 17 Apr 2024 2024 election 24.8 23.8 8.7 9.5 18.1 7.8 7.3 - 1.0 14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 27.1 21.0 8.0 4.9 14.2 4.8 - - 6.1 14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 22.8 21.5 6.4 7.5 18.9 6.8 - 11.8 1.3 9 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 26.8 22.2 4.4 8.7 12.0 4.5 - - 4.6 25 Mar 2024 2x1 komunikacije 27.3 25.3 4.8 7.0 14.8 5.3 - 11.8 2.0
Seat projections [ edit ] 7th Electoral district [ edit ] Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Others Undecided Lead 17 Apr 2024 2024 election 41.3 25.4 8.6 6.6 6.9 1.6 9.6 - 15.9 12 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 33.4 21.6 8.7 4.9 5.2 - - - 11.8 12 Apr 2024 IPSOS 32.7 21.2 11.2 5.0 4.7 - 13.1 12.1 11.5 10 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 38.8 23.8 6.0 5.3 5.0 - - 7.3 15.0 9 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 32.6 22.0 9.4 4.9 5.4 2.6 - 14.0 10.5
Seat projections [ edit ] 8th Electoral district [ edit ] Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! IDS RF UZ Others Undecided Lead 17 Apr 2024 2024 election 21.3 33.4 4.0 5.7 10.2 15.9 2.8 2.0 4.7 - 12.1 12 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 18.9 29.8 4.1 5.7 4.4 13.1 4.4 - - - 10.9 12 Apr 2024 IPSOS 17.6 26.1 5.3 4.5 9.4 13.0 3.1 - 6.9 14.1 8.5 11 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 19.5 31.0 4.8 6.5 7.0 13.0 4.5 1.5 - 10.5 11.5 7 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 18.2 30.8 3.5 5.0 5.2 12.1 4.1 3.8 3.5 13.8 11.9
Seat projections [ edit ] 9th Electoral district [ edit ] Seat projections [ edit ] 10th Electoral district [ edit ] Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Others Undecided Lead 17 Apr 2024 2024 election 37.0 25.5 10.8 11.5 5.3 0.5 9.4 - 11.5 11 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 33.7 21.7 9.1 10.4 4.4 - - - 12.0 11 Apr 2024 IPSOS 32.7 23.2 8.2 8.9 5.5 - - 10.0 9.5 8 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 34.0 19.5 9.0 10.9 4.0 - - 13.2 14.5 5 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 38.8 27.8 5.5 9.8 3.3 2.5 - 9.0 11.0
Seat projections [ edit ] Polling for prime minister [ edit ] On 24 December 2023, Dnevnik.hr of Nova TV , started publishing polling about voters preference on the next prime minister.
Publication date Polling firm Votes Plenković Milanović Grbin Penava Grmoja Raspudić Benčić Vanđelić Nobody No response Others Undecided Lead 25 Mar 2024 Ipsos 1,000 31.7 23.5 - - 8.3 - 9.9 - - - 14.9 9.0 8.2 17 Mar 2024 Ipsos 604 30.0 32.0 - - 8.0 - 12.0 3.0 15.0 2.0 15 Mar 2024 Croatian president Zoran Milanović entered the race as SDP candidate for Prime Minister[2] 24 Feb 2024 Ipsos 679 27.0 - 6.3 7.4 - - 10.1 0.8 3.4 24.5 20.5 16.9 26 Jan 2024 Ipsos 995 20.4 - 6.0 6.7 - - 8.2 - - 19.6 32.6 12.2 2024 24 Dec 2023 Ipsos 674 26.5 - 7.0 11.2 - 4.9 9.9 0.3 4.4 15.1 20.7 15.3
^ Ipsos polls are published on 25th of month when it is a weekday which is not a (non-working) public holiday and on a nearby working day otherwise. One exception was the first poll after the election , which was published on 25th of July 2020, which was a Saturday. ^ part of Rivers of justice coalition ^ part of DP-led coalition ^ part of HDZ-led coalition ^ part of Rivers of justice coalition ^ part of HDZ-led coalition ^ part of Most-led coalition ^ part of Our Croatia coalition ^ incl. 1.3% for OiP ^ incl. 1.2% for OiP ^ incl. 1.1% for OiP ^ incl. 2.4% for OiP and 1.0% HSP ^ incl. 2.4% for OiP and 1.8% BUZ ^ incl. 1.0% for OiP ^ incl. 1.2% for HSLS and 1.2% for OiP ^ incl. 2.1% for OiP ^ incl. 1.0% for OiP ^ incl. 1.0% for OiP ^ incl. 1.6% for OiP ^ incl. 1.1% for OiP and 1.1% for AP ^ incl. 1.1% for AP ^ incl. 1.1% for OiP and 1.1% for UZ ^ incl. 1.1% for AP ^ incl. 1.2% for OiP and 1.1% for HSP ^ incl. 1.3% for BUZ ^ incl. 1.6% for SU ^ incl. 1.2% for HSLS and 1.1% for SU ^ incl. 1.2% for HDS ^ incl. 1.0% for Blok ^ incl. 1.6% for SDSS ^ incl. 1.0% for HSLS ^ Given certain events at the beginning of the month, Ipsos conducted a second survey on a smaller sample than usual ^ incl. 1.0% for NS R ^ incl. 1.2% for HDS ^ incl. 1.0% for GLAS ^ incl. 1.2% for NS R ^ incl. 1.3% for NL Matija Posavec, 1.2% for BM 365 and 1.1% for NS R ^ incl. 1.2% for BM365 ^ incl. 1.6% for BM365 ^ incl. 1.4% for BM365 and 1.0% for NS R ^ incl. 1.2% for BM365 and 1.0% for NS R ^ incl. 1.0% for SIP ^ incl. 1.5% for BM365 ^ incl. 2.1% for BM365 and 1.2% for NS R ^ incl. 1.3% for BM365 ^ incl. 1.2% for BM365 ^ incl. 1.3% for SIP ^ incl. 1.0% for BM365 ^ incl. 1.0% for BM365 ^ incl. 1.0% for BM365 ^ incl. 1.4% for BM365 and 1.0% for NS R ^ a b c with SDP ^ with DP ^ part of SDP until split in the party ^ incl. 1.0% for NS R and 0.6% for BM365 References [ edit ]
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