2024 California's 47th congressional district election

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For broader coverage of this topic, see California's 47th congressional district.

2024 California's 47th congressional district election
← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →
 
Candidate Dave Min Scott Baugh
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Katie Porter
Democratic



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The 2024 California's 47th congressional district election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the United States representative for California's 47th congressional district, concurrently with elections for the other U.S. House districts in California and the rest of the country, as well as the 2024 U.S. Senate race in California, other elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election will be held on March 5, 2024, concurrently with the Super Tuesday presidential primaries. The Southern California-based 47th district is centered in Orange County and includes the cities of Costa Mesa, Huntington Beach, Irvine, Newport Beach, and Seal Beach, as well as portions of Laguna Beach, Laguna Hills, and Laguna Woods.

The incumbent is Democrat Katie Porter, who was re-elected with 51.7% of the vote in 2022. She is not seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate.[1] Porter was first elected in 2018, unseating incumbent Republican Mimi Walters. She later gained national fame for her progressive politics and frequently went viral for grilling corporate executives during congressional hearings.[2]

The candidates leading in fundraising are state senator Dave Min and attorney Joanna Weiss, both Democrats, and former state assemblyman Scott Baugh and businessman Max Ukropina, both Republicans. Democratic former congressman Harley Rouda was previously in the race and led in fundraising, but dropped out due to complications from an injury.

The race is expected to be highly competitive as it is a slightly blue suburban district with no incumbent. Both House Democrats and House Republicans have listed California's 47th district among their highest-priority districts in the 2024 election.[3][4] Democrat Joe Biden won the district with 54.5% of the vote in the 2020 presidential election.[5]

Primary election[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Advanced to general[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

  • Terry Crandall (No party preference), Santa Ana College economics professor[8]
  • Tom McGrath (No party preference), chemical engineer[8]
  • Long Pham (Republican), former member of the Orange County Department of Education Board of Directors and perennial candidate[8]
  • Boyd Roberts (Democratic), realtor and perennial candidate[8]
  • Bill Smith (No party preference), retired attorney[8]
  • Max Ukropina (Republican), businessman and former aide to U.S. Representatives John Campbell and David Valadao[9]
  • Joanna Weiss (Democratic), attorney and law professor[10]
  • Shariq Zaidi (Democratic), security guard[8]

Withdrawn[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Dom Jones (D) (withdrawn)
Individuals
Scott Baugh (R)
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Political parties
Organizations
Long Pham (R)
Organizations
Dave Min (D)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
  • 24 state senators[36]
  • 33 state assemblymembers[36]
Individuals
Newspapers and other media
Political parties
Organizations
Labor unions
Harley Rouda (D) (withdrawn)
U.S. representatives
Local officials
Max Ukropina (R)
Political parties
Joanna Weiss (D)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State assemblymembers
Local officials
Organizations

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Scott
Baugh (R) 		Dave
Min (D) 		Max
Ukropina (R) 		Joanna
Weiss (D) 		Other Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[A] February 12–14, 2024 366 (LV) ± 5.1% 27% 22% 9% 16% 9% 17%
RMG Research[B] November 14–19, 2023 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 17% 12% 4% 7% 4%[c] 56%

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dave Min (D) $1,731,136 $1,507,057 $224,079
Boyd Roberts (D) $6,762 $8,369 $0
Joanna Weiss (D) $2,151,268[d] $1,538,667 $612,601
Scott Baugh (R) $2,010,374 $313,132 $1,707,928
Max Ukropina (R) $595,201 $436,787 $158,414
Terry Crandall (NPP) $13,985 $12,461 $1,523
Tom McGrath (NPP) $14,033 $8,895 $5,138
Bill Smith (NPP) $15,000[e] $7,770 $7,230
Source: Federal Election Commission[74]

Results[edit]

2024 California's 47th congressional district primary[75][76]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Baugh 49,799 32.8
Democratic Dave Min 39,080 25.7
Democratic Joanna Weiss 28,948 19.0
Republican Max Ukropina 22,729 15.0
Republican Long Pham 4,195 2.8
No party preference Terry Crandall 2,400 1.6
Democratic Boyd Roberts 2,012 1.3
No party preference Tom McGrath 1,321 0.9
No party preference Bill Smith 902 0.6
Democratic Shariq Zaidi 672 0.4
Total votes 152,058 100.0

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[77] Lean D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[78] Tilt D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[79] Tossup February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[80] Tossup March 22, 2024
CNalysis[81] Lean D November 16, 2023

Endorsements[edit]

Endorsements in bold were made after the primary election.

Dave Min (D)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
  • 24 state senators[36]
  • 33 state assemblymembers[36]
Individuals
Newspapers and other media
Political parties
Organizations
Labor unions
Scott Baugh (R)
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Political parties
Organizations

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Dave
Min (D) 		Scott
Baugh (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] October 24–30, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 43% 15%
Public Policy Polling (D)[D] June 14–15, 2023 555 (LV) ± 4.2% 37% 39% 24%
Hypothetical polling
Scott Baugh vs. Joanna Weiss
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Joanna
Weiss (D) 		Scott
Baugh (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] October 24–30, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 42% 15%

Results[edit]

2024 California's 47th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Dave Min
Republican Scott Baugh
Total votes

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Poll conducted for Baugh's campaign
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by U.S. Term Limits
  3. ^ a b Poll conducted for Weiss's campaign
  4. ^ Poll conducted for Min's campaign
  1. ^ This district was numbered as the 45th district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle.
  2. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 0%
  4. ^ $225,000 of this total was self-funded by Weiss
  5. ^ $15,000 of this total was self-funded by Weiss

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (January 10, 2023). "Rep. Katie Porter launches a U.S. Senate bid". The Orange County Register. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  2. ^ Kang, Hanna (January 10, 2023). "Rep. Katie Porter's most viral moments in Congress". The Orange County Register.
  3. ^ Ackley, Kate (March 10, 2023). "DCCC picks 29 'Frontline' members for extra help next year". Roll Call. Retrieved March 20, 2023.
  4. ^ Gibson, Brittany (March 13, 2023). "Republicans release top targets of Democratic-held House seats in 2024". Politico. Retrieved March 20, 2023.
  5. ^ "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts". Daily Kos. September 29, 2021. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
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  7. ^ a b c d Gans, Jared (January 18, 2023). "Dave Min announces bid for Porter's California House seat, nabs her endorsement". The Hill. Retrieved January 18, 2023.
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  19. ^ Hooper, Kelly (January 10, 2023). "Katie Porter launches Senate campaign for Feinstein's seat". Politico.
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  24. ^ a b c d "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 5/8". Daily Kos. May 8, 2023. Retrieved May 18, 2023.
  25. ^ a b c d "Scott Baugh announces Orange County legislative endorsements in campaign for Congress". OC Breeze. Retrieved January 18, 2024.
  26. ^ a b c d "OC Supervisor and Chairman Don Wagner, along with City Council Members in Irvine, Seal Beach, Costa Mesa and Laguna Niguel, endorse Scott Baugh for Congress". OC Breeze. Retrieved January 18, 2024.
  27. ^ a b "Reform California Releases Its First Round of Voter Guide Endorsements for the 2024 Election". reformcalifornia.org. Archived from the original on August 29, 2023. Retrieved August 29, 2023.
  28. ^ a b "CA Statewide Guide". www.cacollegegop.org. Retrieved February 10, 2024.
  29. ^ a b "2024 Voter Guides". californiaprolife.org. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
  30. ^ a b c "CRPA PAC Endorsed Federal Candidates". CRPA. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
  31. ^ a b "Endorsements by the HJTA PAC". Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association. Retrieved January 29, 2024.
  32. ^ a b "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 4/4". Daily Kos. April 4, 2023. Retrieved May 18, 2023.
  33. ^ a b NRA-PVF. "NRA-PVF | Grades | California". NRA-PVF. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  34. ^ a b c d e f g "California Lieutenant Governor Eleni Kounalakis endorses Dave Min for Congress". OC Breeze. March 28, 2023. Archived from the original on March 30, 2023. Retrieved March 30, 2023.
  35. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Chmielewski, Dan (August 22, 2023). "Healthcare Workers Endorse State Senator Dave Min". The Liberal OC. Retrieved January 18, 2024.
  36. ^ a b c d e f g h Bajko, Matthew S. (September 27, 2023). "Political Notebook: Amid Orange County LGBTQ backlash, House candidate Min remains an advocate". Bay Area Reporter. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
  37. ^ a b "Attorney General Rob Bonta endorses Dave Min for Congress". Orange County Breeze. January 25, 2023. Archived from the original on January 27, 2023. Retrieved May 18, 2023.
  38. ^ a b Gardiner, Dustin; Korte, Lara (October 5, 2023). "Who is, and isn't, speaking at Feinstein's funeral: Lt. Gov Shares the Love". Politico. Retrieved October 6, 2023.
  39. ^ a b "California State Treasurer Fiona Ma endorses Dave Min for Congress". Orange County Breeze. February 2, 2023. Archived from the original on March 4, 2023. Retrieved March 4, 2023.
  40. ^ a b c d e f "SEIU endorses Dave Min for Congress". Orange County Breeze. March 16, 2023. Archived from the original on March 17, 2023. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  41. ^ a b "Endorsement: Dave Min should replace Katie Porter in the 47th Congressional District". Los Angeles Times. January 15, 2024. Retrieved January 18, 2024.
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  44. ^ a b "Asian American Action Fund Endorses California State Senator Dave Min for California's 47th Congressional District". Asian American Action Fund. February 23, 2023. Retrieved May 18, 2023.
  45. ^ a b AAPI Victory Fund [@aapivictoryfund] (May 12, 2023). "We are proud to endorse @davemin_ca for California's 47th Congressional District. Dave is running for Congress to defend the American Dream and fight for the hard-working constituents of CA-47. We stand with Dave to protect progressive values in Congress". Instagram. AAPI Victory Fund. Retrieved May 18, 2023.
  46. ^ a b Kang, Hanna (February 8, 2023). "AAPI groups focus on the CA-47 race, viewing it as a potential pickup in 2024". The Orange County Register. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
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  48. ^ a b "RELEASE: Dave Min (CA-47) receives Democrats Serve's endorsement". Democrats Serve. Retrieved March 2, 2024.
  49. ^ a b Chmielewski, Dan (September 8, 2023). "Min and Porter Big Winners of DGI Poll". The Liberal OC. Retrieved September 16, 2023.
  50. ^ a b "2024 ENDORSEMENT". Emgage PAC. Retrieved March 5, 2024.
  51. ^ a b "LCV Action Fund Announces Additional U.S. House Endorsements for 2024 Election". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  52. ^ a b "2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action". www.sierraclubindependentaction.org. Retrieved February 22, 2024.
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  54. ^ a b Chmielewski, Dan (December 18, 2023). "AFSCME Endorses Dave Min; America's Largest Public Employees Union Latest to Join Min's Massive Coalition". The Liberal OC. Retrieved December 20, 2023.
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  56. ^ a b Chmielewski, Dan (December 8, 2023). "California Labor Federation Backs Dave Min". The Liberal OC. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
  57. ^ a b Chmielewski, Dan (July 6, 2023). "Teamsters Endorse Dave Min for Congress". The Liberal OC.
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  74. ^ "2024 Election United States House - California 47th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved November 27, 2023.
  75. ^ "Certified List of Candidates" (PDF). California Secretary of State. December 28, 2023. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
  76. ^ "California 47th Congressional District Primary Election Results". The New York Times. March 5, 2024. Retrieved March 7, 2024.
  77. ^ Wasserman, David (January 10, 2023). "Porter Senate Run Starts Open CA-47 Race in Lean Democrat". The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  78. ^ Gonzales, Nathan L.; Rubashkin, Jacob; Covey, Erin; Wascher, Bradley; Rothenberg, Stuart. "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
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  82. ^ Chmielewski, Dan (April 12, 2024). "Adam Schiff Throws His Support Behind Dave Min, Citing the High Stakes of California's 47th Congressional District Race". The Liberal OC. Retrieved April 15, 2024.
  83. ^ Chmielewski, Dan (April 17, 2024). "Governor Gavin Newsom Endorses Dave Min for Congress". The Liberal OC. Retrieved April 19, 2024.
  84. ^ "Dangerous Dave Min touts endorsement from the Squad". NRCC. April 3, 2024. Retrieved April 3, 2024.
  85. ^ Solander, Andrew (March 28, 2024). "Scoop: House Democrats grow their GOP target list for 2024". Axios. Retrieved March 28, 2024.
  86. ^ "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Slate of California Champions for Election to U.S. House". Reproductive Freedom for All. April 9, 2024. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
  87. ^ Schilke, Rachel (April 3, 2024). "Johnson-linked PAC releases first slate of 'trailblazer' House endorsements - Washington Examiner". Retrieved April 3, 2024.

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites