2018 Florida gubernatorial election

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For related races, see 2018 United States gubernatorial elections.

2018 Florida gubernatorial election
← 2014 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2022 →
Turnout62.6%Increase12.1[1][2]
 
Nominee Ron DeSantis Andrew Gillum
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jeanette Nuñez Chris King
Popular vote 4,076,186 4,043,723
Percentage 49.59% 49.19%
DeSantis:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Gillum:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No data
Governor before election

Rick Scott
Republican

Elected Governor

Ron DeSantis
Republican

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Government

The 2018 Florida gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Florida, alongside an election to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Incumbent two-term Republican governor Rick Scott was term-limited and could not run for a third term, and he successfully ran for Florida's Class I Senate seat.

Republican U.S. representative Ron DeSantis narrowly defeated Democratic mayor of Tallahassee Andrew Gillum for the governorship, in what some considered an upset. The candidate filing deadline was June 22, 2018, and primary elections were held on August 28. Florida uses a closed primary process, in which the selection of each party's candidates for a general election is limited to registered members of that party;[3] Gillum won the Democratic primary and DeSantis the Republican primary.[4]

The close margin mandated a machine recount, which had a deadline of November 15, 2018. After the recount was complete, DeSantis was certified as the winner. Gillum conceded on November 17. DeSantis's victory marked the sixth straight election in which Florida elected a Republican to the governorship, and the third in a row that neither candidate received over 50% of the vote. With a margin of 0.4%, this election was the closest race of the 2018 gubernatorial election cycle. Gillum became the first Democrat to win Duval County since 1986 and Seminole County since 1990, while DeSantis became the first Republican gubernatorial candidate to win Jefferson County since 1884.

Republican primary[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Ron DeSantis
U.S. presidents
Adam Putnam
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State senator
State representatives
Sheriffs
Organizations
Newspapers
Jack Latvala (withdrawn)
U.S. representative
Bob White
U.S. representative

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Richard
Corcoran 		Ron
DeSantis 		Jack
Latvala 		Adam
Putnam 		Bob
White 		Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing August 21–25, 2018 579 ± 4.1% – 39% – 27% 6% 4%[a] 23%
St. Pete Polls August 22–23, 2018 2,141 ± 2.1% – 56% – 33% 3% – 8%
Gravis Marketing August 21–22, 2018 321 ± 5.5% – 39% – 24% 6% 4%[a] 26%
Florida Atlantic University August 16–20, 2018 222 ± 6.5% – 32% – 31% 2% 13%[b] 22%
Saint Leo University August 10–16, 2018 172 – – 41% – 52% – 5% –
SurveyUSA August 10–13, 2018 558 ± 5.2% – 40% – 38% 2% 5%[c] 16%
North Star Opinion Research (R-DeSantis) August 5–7, 2018 600 ± 4.0% – 50% – 30% – – –
Mason-Dixon July 23–25, 2018 500 ± 4.5% – 41% – 29% 0% 2%[d] 28%
Florida Atlantic University July 20–21, 2018 262 ± 6.0% – 36% – 27% 3% 12%[e] 23%
Clearview Research July 14–19, 2018 700 ± 4.0% – 38% – 39% – – 23%
St. Pete Polls July 16–17, 2018 1,709 ± 2.4% – 50% – 30% 4% – 17%
Gravis Marketing July 13–14, 2018 905 ± 3.3% – 35% – 29% 4%[f] 25%
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R) July 8–12, 2018 349 ± 5.2% – 42% – 30% – – 27%
Remington (R-Tenth Amendment Project) July 2–5, 2018 2,826 ± 1.8% – 43% – 26% – – 25%
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis) July 2, 2018 800 ± 3.4% – 47% – 28% – –
Marist College June 17–21, 2018 326 ± 6.7% – 21% – 38% – 3% 39%
Fox News June 15–19, 2018 901 ± 3.0% – 17% – 32% 3% 5%[g]
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 543 ± 4.2% 4% 19% – 29% 5% – 43%
Cherry Communications June 7–9, 2018 501 ± 5.3% – 15% – 32% – 5% 48%
Saint Leo University May 25–31, 2018 175 – – 13% – 35% – 9% 44%
Florida Atlantic University May 4–7, 2018 371 ± 5.0% – 16% – 15% 3% 24%[h] 43%
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis) April 19–23, 2018 800 ± 3.4% 7% 30% – 23% – – 40%
– 30% – 26% – – 44%
Gravis Marketing February 26 – March 19, 2018 – – 3% 19% 0% 17% 0% – 60%
North Star Opinion Research (R-DeSantis) March 12–15, 2018 600 – <6% 21% – 19% – – –
– 28% – 23% – – –
Saint Leo University February 18–24, 2018 175 – 7% 14% 3% 15% 5% 9%[i] 46%
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine February 1–18, 2018 – – 3% 16% 0% 18% 2% – 61%
Mason-Dixon January 29 – February 1, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 7% 23% – 27% – – 43%
Remington December 30–31, 2017 1,423 ± 2.6% 3% 28% – 25% – – 44%
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine December 19–24, 2017 – – 2% 12% 2% 23% 1% – 60%
Saint Leo University November 19–24, 2017 166 – 5% 15% 4% 10%[j] 63%
Cherry Communications September 17–24, 2017 256 – 1% 9% 26% – 3% 59%
Saint Leo University September 10–16, 2017 173 – 4% 7% 20% 2% 11%[k] 44%
Florida Atlantic University August 24–26, 2017 304 ± 6.5% 10% 9% 27% – – 53%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Jeff
Atwater 		Rick
Baker 		Pam
Bondi 		Richard
Corcoran 		Mike
Huckabee 		Usha
Jain 		David
Jolly 		Jack
Latvala 		Adam
Putnam 		Will
Weatherford 		Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine March 28–29, 2017 – – – 2% – 5% – – 5% 4% 21% – – 63%
Saint Leo University March 3–11, 2017 175 – – 6% – 5% 30% 2% – 3% 13% – 8% 34%
Associated Industries of Florida February 14–17, 2017 800 ± 3.5% – – – 4% – – – – 22% – – 71%
Cherry Communications December 3–8, 2016 – – – – – – – – – – 22% – – 64%
Saint Leo University November 27–30, 2016 – – 5% 1% – 2% 32% – – – 6% 1% 7% 47%
StPetePolls.org August 2, 2016 1,835 ± 2.3% 7% 3% 26% 1% 37% – – – 8% 1% 7% 12%

Results[edit]

Results by county:
  DeSantis
  •   DeSantis—40–50%
  •   DeSantis—50–60%
  •   DeSantis—60–70%
  •   DeSantis—70–80%
  Putnam
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results[54]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron DeSantis 916,298 56.5%
Republican Adam Putnam 592,518 36.5%
Republican Bob White 32,710 2.0%
Republican Timothy M. Devine 21,380 1.3%
Republican Bob Langford 19,842 1.2%
Republican Bruce Nathan 14,556 0.9%
Republican Don Baldauf 13,173 0.8%
Republican John Joseph Mercadante 11,647 0.7%
Total votes 1,622,124 100.0%

Democratic primary[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Gwen Graham
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
Other individuals
Organizations
Newspaper editorial boards
Jeff Greene
Newspapers
Chris King
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal officials
Organizations
Philip Levine
Statewide officials
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal officials
Other individuals
Newspaper editorial boards

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Gillum 		Gwen
Graham 		Jeff
Greene 		Chris
King 		Philip
Levine 		Other Undecided
St. Pete Polls August 25–26, 2018 2,342 ± 2.0% 25% 32% 11% 2% 22% 4% 5%
Gravis Marketing August 21–25, 2018 531 ± 4.3% 16% 26% 19% 5% 18% – 17%
Gravis Marketing August 21–22, 2018 308 ± 5.6% 15% 26% 19% 5% 18% – 17%
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) August 19–21, 2018 669 ± 3.8% 18% 25% 13% 2% 26% – 15%
Florida Atlantic University August 16–20, 2018 280 ± 6.3% 11% 29% 11% 10% 17% 3% 19%
Change Research (D-Gillum) August 18–19, 2018 1,178 – 33% 22% 10% – 22% – –
St. Pete Polls August 18–19, 2018 2,202 ± 2.1% 21% 27% 15% 3% 25% 4% 6%
Saint Leo University August 10–16, 2018 188 – 15% 31% 17% 5% 22% 4% –
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) August 11–14, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 15% 24% 13% 3% 27% – 18%
SurveyUSA August 10–13, 2018 631 ± 5.2% 11% 22% 16% 3% 22% 2%[l] 24%
Public Policy Polling (D-Levine) August 5–6, 2018 572 – 13% 26% 16% 4% 22% – 19%
ALG Research (D-Graham) July 29 – August 2, 2018 800 ± 3.4% 10% 33% 13% 3% 17% – 23%
St. Pete Polls July 30–31, 2018 1,652 ± 2.4% 12% 29% 23% 3% 19% 4% 9%
Mason-Dixon July 23–25, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 10% 27% 12% 7% 18% 1%[m] 25%
Florida Atlantic University July 20–21, 2018 271 ± 5.9% 7% 20% 14% 9% 16% 3% 31%
Associated Industries of Florida July 16–18, 2018 800 – 12% 24% 13% 4% 16% – –
Frederick Polls July 2018 506 – 15% 28% 23% 7% 27% – –
St. Pete Polls July 14–15, 2018 1,314 ± 2.7% 10% 22% 22% 3% 19% 1%[n] 25%
Gravis Marketing July 13–14, 2018 1,540 ± 2.5% 10% 27% 18% – 17% – 27%
Marist College June 17–21, 2018 344 ± 6.5% 8% 17% 4% 3% 19% 1% 47%
RABA Research June 15–16, 2018 660 ± 3.8% 8% 26% 3% 15% 27% – 21%
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 29% 24% – 3% 17% – 27%
Let's Preserve the American Dream June 6–9, 2018 800 ± 3.1% 11% 21% 3% 4% 24% – 37%
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) June 3–5, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 11% 16% 4% 6% 32% – 31%
Saint Leo University May 25–31, 2018 195 – 10% 14% – 6% 14% 9% 47%
Public Policy Polling (D-Levine) May 21–22, 2018 583 – 12% 20% – 6% 30% – 33%
Change Research (D-Gillum) May 8–11, 2018 1,107 ± 3.0% 13% 13% – 3% 20% – 52%
Florida Atlantic University May 4–7, 2018 372 ± 3.0% 6% 15% – 10% 16% 11%[o] 42%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) April 10–11, 2018 491 – 8% 23% – 4% 29% – 36%
Public Policy Polling March 23–25, 2018 613 – 8% 19% – 5% 22% – 46%
Gravis Marketing February 26 – March 19, 2018 – – 11% 9% 2% 2% 13% – 64%
Saint Leo University February 18–24, 2018 190 – 10% 17% 5% 7% 8% 3% 50%
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine February 1–18, 2018 – – 9% 12% 1% 2% 12% – 63%
Mason-Dixon January 29 – February 1, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 10% 20% – 4% 17% – 49%
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine December 19–24, 2017 – – 12% 18% 2% 3% 6% – 60%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Bob
Buckhorn 		Kathy
Castor 		Buddy
Dyer 		Andrew
Gillum 		Gwen
Graham 		Jeff
Greene 		Grant
Hill 		Chris
King 		Philip
Levine 		John
Morgan 		Patrick
Murphy 		Jeremy
Ring 		Katherine
Fernandez
Rundle 		Jack
Seiler 		Other Undecided
Frederick Polls April 23–28, 2018 750 ± 3.6% – – – 6% 14% – – 2% 20% – 14% – – – – 44%
Saint Leo University November 19–24, 2017 181 – – 2% – 6% 9% 2% 2% 3% 2% 13% – – 5% – 2% 53%
Cherry Communications[permanent dead link] September 17–24, 2017 263 – – – – 6% 16% – – 2% 4% 23% – – – – 4% 44%
Saint Leo University September 10–16, 2017 190 – – 3% – 5% 7% 1% 4% 4% 1% 12% 13% – 5% – 3% 44%
Florida Atlantic University August 24–26, 2017 297 ± 6.5% – – – 9% 14% – – 4% 8% 19% – – – – – 47%
Gravis Marketing Archived April 14, 2017, at the Wayback Machine April 4–10, 2017 – – – – – 13% 11% 1% – – 3% – 14% – – – 3% 55%
Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine March 28–29, 2017 – – – – – 23% 8% 0% – – 1% 9% 24% – – – – 36%
Saint Leo University March 3–11, 2017 203 – 3% 5% 6% 4% 4% – – – 5% 9% 20% 2% – 2% 4% 40%
Cherry Communications December 3–8, 2016 – – 5% – – 8% 16% – – – 5% 15% – – – – 4% 45%
Saint Leo University November 27–30, 2016 – – 5% 4% 5% – 5% – – – 3% 20% – 1% – 1% 7% 49%

Results[edit]

Results by county:
  Gillum
  •   <30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Graham
  •   <30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Levine
  •   <30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andrew Gillum 517,417 34.3%
Democratic Gwen Graham 472,735 31.3%
Democratic Philip Levine 306,450 20.3%
Democratic Jeff Greene 151,935 10.1%
Democratic Chris King 37,464 2.5%
Democratic John Wetherbee 14,355 1.0%
Democratic Alex "Lundy" Lundmark 8,628 0.6%
Total votes 1,508,984 100.0%

Independent and third party candidates[edit]

Reform Party[edit]

Declared[edit]

Libertarian Party[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Constitution party[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Independents[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Ryan Christopher Foley, former emergency medical technician[154]
  • Kyle "KC" Gibson, pastor[154]
  • Bruce Stanley, environmental activist[154]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Darcy Richardson (Reform Party)
  • Nancy Argenziano, former Florida state senator and public service commissioner[159]
  • Randy Wiseman, former Republican Chair of the Lake County School Board[160]
John Morgan (declined)

General election[edit]

Debates[edit]

Dates Location DeSantis Gillum Link
October 21, 2018 Tampa, Florida Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN
October 24, 2018 Weston, Florida Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

First debate[edit]

The first debate moderated by CNN's Jake Tapper was hosted on October 21, 2018, at WEDU, Tampa, Florida.[162] It was an hour long debate featuring topics like climate change,[163][164] minimum wage,[165][166] health care,[167] gun control,[168] the NRA,[169] DeSantis's "monkey up" comment[170] and President Donald Trump being a role model for children.[171][172]

This debate was held a day before early voting started in Florida on October 22, 2018.[173]

Second debate[edit]

The second debate occurred on October 24, 2018, and was hosted at Weston, Florida. It was moderated by Leadership Florida and the Florida Press Association.[174]

Endorsements[edit]

Andrew Gillum (D)
Former U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State and territorial officials
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
Other individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Sheriffs
Ron DeSantis (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State senators
State representatives
Mayors and other municipal leaders
State and territorial officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Darcy Richardson (Ref.)
U.S. senators
State officials
  • Nancy Argenziano, former Florida state senator and Public Service Commissioner[159]
  • Randy Wiseman, former Republican Chair of the Lake County School Board[160]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[360] Tossup October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[361] Tossup November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[362] Likely D (flip) November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[363] Tilt D (flip) November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[364] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[365] Tossup November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[366] Tossup November 5, 2018
Fox News[367][p] Tossup November 5, 2018
Politico[368] Tossup November 5, 2018
Governing[369] Tossup November 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ^ a b Bruce Nathan with 4%
  2. ^ Bruce Nathan 4%, Don Baldauf 3%, Timothy Devine 2%, someone else 4.5%
  3. ^ Timothy Devine with 2%; Don Baldauf, Bob Langford, and Bruce Nathan with 1%; John Joseph Mercadante with 0%
  4. ^ Bruce Nathan with 2%, Don Baldouf, Timothy Levine, Bob Langford, and John Joseph Mercadante with 0%
  5. ^ Bruce Nathan with 3%, Ellen Wilds with 2%, Timothy Devine and Armando Rivas with 1%, someone else with 5%
  6. ^ Armando Rivas with 4%
  7. ^ Tim Devine, Ellen Wilds, Armando Rivas, and Bruce Nathan with 1%; Raphael Herman, Issak Almaleh, Joseph Mercadante, Frederick Dee Buntin, and Don Baldauf with <0.5%; Usha Jain with 0%; other with 1%
  8. ^ David Adams 8%, Tim Devine 5%, Bruce Nathan 2%, Don Baldauf 1%, someone else 8%
  9. ^ Bruce Nathan 2%, Angel Luis Rivera 2%, someone else 5%
  10. ^ Jackie Siegel 2%, Ron Bergeron 1%, Angel Luis Rivera 1%, Daniel Zutler 1%, someone else 5%
  11. ^ Daniel Zutler 3%, Jackie Siegel 2%, Ron Bergeron 1%, Bruce Nathan 1%, Angel Luis Rivera 1%, Usha Jain 0%, someone else 3%
  12. ^ Alex "Lundy" Lundmark and John Wetherbee with 1%
  13. ^ Alex "Lundy" Lundmark with 1%, John Wetherbee with 0%
  14. ^ Alex "Lundy" Lundmark and John Wetherbee with 0%
  15. ^ Louis McClanahan 2%, Josue Larose 1%, someone else 8%
  16. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling[edit]

This is Polling for the 2018 Florida Gubernatorial Election
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis (R) 		Andrew
Gillum (D) 		Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) November 4–5, 2018 1,484 ± 2.5% 50% 47% 1% 2%
HarrisX November 3–5, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 46% 49% – –
St. Pete Polls November 3–4, 2018 3,088 ± 1.8% 45% 50% 2%[a] 3%
HarrisX November 2–4, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 46% 48% – –
Quinnipiac University October 29 – November 4, 2018 1,142 ± 3.5% 43% 50% 1% 6%
Emerson College November 1–3, 2018 784 ± 3.7% 46% 51% 2% 1%
HarrisX November 1–3, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 46% 49% – –
Research Co. November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 46% 47% 2% 5%
St. Pete Polls November 1–2, 2018 2,733 ± 1.9% 46% 48% 2%[a] 4%
HarrisX October 31 – November 2, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 50% – –
Marist College October 30 – November 2, 2018 595 LV ± 5.0% 46% 50% <1% 3%
917 RV ± 4.1% 45% 50% <1% 5%
Gravis Marketing October 29 – November 2, 2018 753 ± 3.6% 47% 48% – 5%
HarrisX October 30 – November 1, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 50% – –
Targoz Market Research October 28–31, 2018 558 – 48% 47% – 5%
HarrisX October 29–31, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 43% 50% – –
MWR Research/Consumer Energy Alliance[b] October 25–31, 2020 1,005 – 40% 41% 1% 18%[c]
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 29–30, 2018 2,543 ± 1.9% 46% 48% 3% 2%
Vox Populi Polling October 27–30, 2018 696 ± 3.7% 47% 53% – –
HarrisX Archived November 5, 2018, at the Wayback Machine October 24–30, 2018 1,400 ± 2.6% 42% 44% – –
Cygnal (R) October 27–29, 2018 495 ± 4.4% 47% 47% 5% 1%
CNN/SSRS October 24–29, 2018 781 LV ± 4.3% 48% 49% 0% 2%
887 RV ± 4.0% 45% 48% 0% 4%
Suffolk University Archived October 30, 2018, at the Wayback Machine October 25–28, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 44% 45% 1%[d] 8%
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 23–27, 2018 737 ± 4.0% 43% 48% 1% 8%
University of North Florida Archived October 30, 2018, at the Wayback Machine October 23–26, 2018 1,051 ± 3.0% 43% 49% <1% 7%
YouGov October 23–26, 2018 991 ± 4.0% 46% 47% 2% 5%
Ipsos October 17–25, 2018 1,069 ± 3.4% 44% 50% 3% 3%
Gravis Marketing October 22–23, 2018 773 ± 3.5% 46% 51% – 3%
Strategic Research Associates Archived October 25, 2018, at the Wayback Machine October 16–23, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 48% 45% – 8%
1892 Polling (R-DeSantis) October 20–22, 2018 2,500 ± 2.0% 47% 46% 2% 6%
Saint Leo University October 16–22, 2018 698 ± 3.5% 37% 49% 4% 11%
St. Pete Polls October 20–21, 2018 1,575 ± 2.5% 46% 47% 2%[a] 4%
Florida Atlantic University October 18–21, 2018 704 ± 3.6% 37% 41% 4% 18%
SurveyUSA October 18–21, 2018 665 ± 5.0% 42% 49% 1% 8%
Quinnipiac University October 17–21, 2018 1,161 ± 3.5% 46% 52% 1% 2%
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) October 17–20, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 42% 48% – 10%
CNN/SSRS October 16–20, 2018 759 LV ± 4.2% 42% 54% 0% 4%
872 RV ± 3.9% 42% 52% 0% 5%
OnMessage Inc. (R-Scott) October 14–18, 2018 2,200 ± 2.1% 48% 45% 3%[a] 4%
St. Pete Polls October 15–16, 2018 1,974 ± 2.2% 46% 47% 2%[a] 5%
Florida Southern College October 1–5, 2018 476 ± 4.5% 44% 47% 5% 4%
Kaiser Family Foundation/SSRS September 19 – October 2, 2018 522 ± 6.0% 40% 48% 1% 10%
St. Pete Polls September 29–30, 2018 2,313 ± 2.0% 45% 47% 2%[a] 6%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) September 28–30, 2018 779 ± 3.5% 44% 48% – 8%
Strategic Research Associates Archived November 22, 2018, at the Wayback Machine September 17–30, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 43% 44% – 12%
Mason-Dixon September 24–27, 2018 815 ± 3.5% 44% 45% 3% 8%
Quinnipiac University September 22–24, 2018 888 ± 4.0% 45% 54% 0% 2%
Cherry Communications September 19–24, 2018 622 ± 4.4% 42% 48% 2%[a] 6%
Marist College September 16–20, 2018 600 LV ± 4.7% 43% 48% 1% 7%
829 RV ± 4.0% 41% 49% 1% 10%
University of North Florida Archived September 24, 2018, at the Wayback Machine September 17–19, 2018 605 – 43% 47% <1% 10%
Florida Atlantic University September 13–16, 2018 850 ± 3.3% 39% 41% 5% 15%
Ipsos Archived September 20, 2018, at the Wayback Machine September 5–12, 2018 1,000 ± 4.0% 44% 50% 2% 5%
Rasmussen Reports September 10–11, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 42% 48% 2% 8%
SurveyUSA September 7–9, 2018 634 ± 5.3% 43% 47% 1% 9%
Cherry Communications September 6–9, 2018 514 ± 4.0% 43% 47% 2% 8%
St. Pete Polls September 5–6, 2018 2,240 ± 2.1% 47% 48% – 5%
Quinnipiac University August 30 – September 3, 2018 785 ± 4.3% 47% 50% 0% 3%
Gravis Marketing August 29–30, 2018 1,225 ± 2.8% 45% 47% – 8%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) August 29–30, 2018 743 ± 4.0% 43% 48% – 9%
Gravis Marketing July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 39% 36% – 25%
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 35% 38% – 27%
Gravis Marketing February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 29% 33% – 37%
Hypothetical polling
with Ron DeSantis and Gwen Graham
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis (R) 		Gwen
Graham (D) 		Other Undecided
Frederick Polls (D) August 16–20, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 40% 44% – –
Saint Leo University August 10–16, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 31% 36% 9% 24%
Gravis Marketing July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 38% 42% – 20%
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 34% 44% – 22%
Saint Leo University May 25–31, 2018 506 ± 4.5% 16% 22% 13% 49%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) April 10–11, 2018 661 – 36% 40% – 24%
Gravis Marketing February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 30% 33% – 37%
with Ron DeSantis and Jeff Greene
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis (R) 		Jeff
Greene (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 39% 39% 22%
with Ron DeSantis and Chris King
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis (R) 		Chris
King (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 35% 37% 29%
with Ron DeSantis and Philip Levine
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis (R) 		Philip
Levine (D) 		Other Undecided
Saint Leo University August 10–16, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 30% 34% 11% 25%
Gravis Marketing July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 40% 38% – 22%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) June 18–19, 2018 1,308 – 36% 41% – –
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 33% 43% – 24%
Saint Leo University May 25–31, 2018 506 ± 4.5% 17% 22% 12% 49%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) April 10–11, 2018 661 – 37% 42% – 22%
with Adam Putnam and Andrew Gillum
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Adam
Putnam (R) 		Andrew
Gillum (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 41% 35% 29%
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 39% 42% 20%
Gravis Marketing February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 34% 28% 38%
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 30% 30% 40%
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 31% 31% 39%
Cherry Communications September 17–24, 2017 615 – 40% 33% –
Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine March 28–29, 2017 1,453 ± 2.6% 32% 31% 37%
with Adam Putnam and Gwen Graham
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Adam
Putnam (R) 		Gwen
Graham (D) 		Other Undecided
Saint Leo University August 10–16, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 36% 31% 9% 24%
Gravis Marketing July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 40% 39% – 20%
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 39% 45% – 17%
Saint Leo University May 25–31, 2018 506 ± 4.5% 25% 20% 13% 43%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) April 10–11, 2018 661 – 36% 37% – 27%
Gravis Marketing February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 34% 32% – 34%
Saint Leo University February 18–24, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 22% 18% 14% 45%
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 33% 29% – 38%
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 32% 32% – 37%
Cherry Communications September 17–24, 2017 615 – 39% 37% – –
Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine March 28–29, 2017 1,453 ± 2.6% 32% 34% – 35%
Cherry Communications December 3–8, 2016 606 – 39% 36% – 25%
Gravis Marketing November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 34% 37% – 30%
with Adam Putnam and Jeff Greene
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Adam
Putnam (R) 		Jeff
Greene (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 41% 39% 20%
with Adam Putnam and Chris King
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Adam
Putnam (R) 		Chris
King (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 39% 38% 23%
Cherry Communications September 17–24, 2017 615 – 40% 31% –
with Adam Putnam and Philip Levine
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Adam
Putnam (R) 		Philip
Levine (D) 		Other Undecided
Saint Leo University August 10–16, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 37% 30% 9% 25%
Gravis Marketing July 13–14, 2018 1,840 ± 2.3% 43% 38% – 19%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) June 18–19, 2018 1,308 – 38% 43% – –
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 39% 43% – 19%
Saint Leo University May 25–31, 2018 506 ± 4.5% 24% 20% 11% 44%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) April 10–11, 2018 661 – 37% 41% – 23%
Cherry Communications September 17–24, 2017 615 – 40% 32% – –
with Bob White and Andrew Gillum
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Bob
White (R) 		Andrew
Gillum (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 28% 38% 35%
with Bob White and Gwen Graham
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Bob
White (R) 		Gwen
Graham (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 27% 44% 29%
with Bob White and Chris King
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Bob
White (R) 		Chris
King (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 28% 36% 36%
with Bob White and Philip Levine
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Bob
White (R) 		Philip
Levine (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 29% 42% 29%
with generic Republican and Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican 		Generic
Democrat 		Undecided
Morning Consult May 29–30, 2018 1,199 ± 3.0% 38% 40% 22%
Quinnipiac University Archived February 27, 2018, at the Wayback Machine February 23–26, 2018 1,156 ± 3.6% 37% 45% 18%
with Richard Corcoran and Andrew Gillum
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Richard
Corcoran (R) 		Andrew
Gillum (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 27% 41% 32%
Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine March 28–29, 2017 1,453 ± 2.6% 26% 33% 42%
Gravis Marketing February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 26% 33% 41%
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 23% 32% 46%
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 22% 33% 45%
with Richard Corcoran and Gwen Graham
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Richard
Corcoran (R) 		Gwen
Graham (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 27% 44% 29%
Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine March 28–29, 2017 1,453 ± 2.6% 29% 34% 38%
Gravis Marketing February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 28% 32% 40%
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 24% 33% 44%
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 24% 33% 43%
with Richard Corcoran and Chris King
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Richard
Corcoran (R) 		Chris
King (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 29% 39% 32%
with Richard Corcoran and Philip Levine
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Richard
Corcoran (R) 		Philip
Levine (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine May 31 – June 15, 2018 485 ± 4.5% 29% 43% 28%
with Richard Corcoran and John Morgan
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Richard
Corcoran (R) 		John
Morgan (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine March 28–29, 2017 1,453 ± 2.6% 27% 39% 34%
with David Jolly and John Morgan
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		David
Jolly (R) 		John
Morgan (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 31% 42% 27%
with Jeff Atwater and Gwen Graham
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Jeff
Atwater (R) 		Gwen
Graham (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 32% 40% 28%
with Jeff Atwater and John Morgan
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Jeff
Atwater (R) 		John
Morgan (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 34% 41% 25%
with Pam Bondi and Gwen Graham
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Pam
Bondi (R) 		Gwen
Graham (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 36% 44% 20%
with Pam Bondi and John Morgan
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Pam
Bondi (R) 		John
Morgan (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 35% 45% 20%
with David Jolly and Gwen Graham
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		David
Jolly (R) 		Gwen
Graham (D) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 29% 40% 31%
with Andrew Putnam, Andrew Gillum, and John Morgan
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Adam
Putnam (R) 		Andrew
Gillum (D) 		John
Morgan (I) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 28% 23% 16% 34%
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 27% 20% 17% 36%
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 26% 22% 18% 34%
with Andrew Putnam, Gwen Graham, and John Morgan
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Adam
Putnam (R) 		Gwen
Graham (D) 		John
Morgan (I) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 29% 22% 17% 32%
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 28% 21% 17% 34%
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 27% 23% 17% 33%
with Richard Corcoran, Andrew Gillum, and John Morgan
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Richard
Corcoran (R) 		Andrew
Gillum (D) 		John
Morgan (I) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 25% 23% 17% 34%
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 20% 21% 17% 41%
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 20% 23% 19% 39%
with Richard Corcoran, Gwen Graham, and John Morgan
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Richard
Corcoran (R) 		Gwen
Graham (D) 		John
Morgan (I) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing February 26 – March 19, 2018 2,212 ± 2.1% 26% 21% 16% 37%
Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine February 1–18, 2018 1,978 ± 2.2% 20% 23% 16% 41%
Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine December 19–24, 2017 5,778 ± 1.3% 20% 24% 18% 38%
with Adam Putnam and John Morgan
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Adam
Putnam (R) 		John
Morgan (D) 		Other Undecided
Saint Leo University November 19–24, 2017 500 ± 4.5% 19% 24% 8% 49%
Cherry Communications September 17–24, 2017 615 – 40% 37% – –
Saint Leo University September 10–16, 2017 500 ± 4.5% 18% 24% 16% 42%
Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine March 28–29, 2017 1,453 ± 2.6% 33% 34% – 32%
Saint Leo University March 3–11, 2017 507 ± 4.5% 20% 26% 13% 42%
Cherry Communications December 3–8, 2016 606 – 40% 37% – 23%
Gravis Marketing November 22–25, 2016 3,250 ± 2.4% 35% 39% – 26%

Results[edit]

2018 Florida gubernatorial election[370]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Ron DeSantis 4,076,186 49.59% +1.45%
Democratic Andrew Gillum 4,043,723 49.19% +2.12%
Reform Darcy Richardson 47,140 0.57% N/A
Independent Kyle "KC" Gibson 24,310 0.30% N/A
Independent Ryan Christopher Foley 14,630 0.18% N/A
Independent Bruce Stanley 14,505 0.18% N/A
Write-in 67 0.00% N/A
Total votes 8,220,561 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic[edit]

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican[edit]

Analysis[edit]

The close margin mandated a machine recount, which had a deadline of November 15, 2018. If the margin was below 0.25% after machine recount, Ken Detzner, the Secretary of State of Florida, would commission a manual recount of over-votes and under-votes.[371] However, after the recount was complete, DeSantis' margin was 0.40%; therefore he was certified the winner. Gillum conceded on November 17.[372]

On November 10, 2022, former president Donald Trump claimed on his Truth Social page that he had prematurely ended the recount to prevent DeSantis and Senate candidate Rick Scott from losing, under the unsubstantiated belief that ballots for them were being removed.[373] Florida Commissioner of Agriculture Nikki Fried has asked Attorney General Merrick Garland to investigate. [374] Sarah Isgur, the spokeswoman of the Department of Justice from 2017 to 2019, has said that it "never happened,"[375] a position which was supported by other former Department of Justice officials.[376] Broward County Commissioner Steven Geller has agreed that no interference took place.[377]

Voter demographics[edit]

Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup Gillum DeSantis No
Answer 		% of
Voters
Gender
Men 41 58 1 45
Women 57 42 1 55
Age
18–24 years old 58 40 2 5
25–29 years old 64 34 2 5
30–39 years old 65 35 N/A 10
40–49 years old 49 50 1 12
50–64 years old 48 52 N/A 31
65 and older 43 56 1 36
Race
White 39 60 1 66
Black 86 14 N/A 13
Latino 54 44 2 15
Asian N/A N/A N/A 2
Other 65 33 2 4
Race by gender
White men 31 69 N/A 31
White women 47 51 2 35
Black men 91 8 1 6
Black women 82 18 N/A 8
Latino men 49 49 2 6
Latina women 58 41 1 9
Others 65 34 1 5
Education
High school or less 44 54 2 20
Some college education 51 48 1 25
Associate degree 47 51 2 15
Bachelor's degree 47 52 1 24
Advanced degree 57 42 1 16
Education and race
White college graduates 46 54 N/A 27
White no college degree 34 64 2 39
Non-white college graduates 61 38 1 12
Non-white no college degree 73 26 1 22
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees 57 42 1 13
White women without college degrees 41 58 1 28
White men with college degrees 35 65 N/A 14
White men without college degrees 26 73 1 17
Non-whites 69 30 1 34
Income
Under $30,000 63 36 1 19
$30,000–49,999 49 51 N/A 22
$50,000–99,999 52 47 1 33
$100,000–199,999 50 50 N/A 19
Over $200,000 N/A N/A N/A 7
Party ID
Democrats 93 7 N/A 33
Republicans 7 92 1 38
Independents 54 44 2 29
Party by gender
Democratic men 90 10 N/A 12
Democratic women 95 5 N/A 21
Republican men 7 93 N/A 19
Republican women 7 90 3 18
Independent men 50 49 1 14
Independent women 58 39 3 16
Ideology
Liberals 90 9 1 22
Moderates 61 38 1 39
Conservatives 13 85 2 39
Marital status
Married 44 55 1 64
Unmarried 56 42 2 36
Gender by marital status
Married men 34 65 1 32
Married women 52 47 1 31
Unmarried men 46 51 3 14
Unmarried women 61 37 2 23
First-time midterm election voter
Yes 56 40 4 16
No 47 53 N/A 84
Most important issue facing the country
Health care 74 25 1 40
Immigration 18 80 2 30
Economy 30 69 1 16
Gun policy 77 23 N/A 10
Area type
Urban 57 42 1 42
Suburban 45 53 2 50
Rural 36 64 N/A 8
Source: CNN[378]

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e f g Darcy Richardson (Reform)
  2. ^ The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group
  3. ^ Includes "Refused"
  4. ^ Kyle Gibson (NPA) with 1%, Ryan Foley (NPA), Darcy Richardson (Reform), and Bruce Stanley (NPA) with 0%

References[edit]

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